Miami Heat at Orlando Magic Free NBA Picks - Odds and Predictions
Date:
December 30, 7:05 pm
Location:
Amway Center
TV:
FSN
Betting Odds
Point Spread:
Orlando +1
Total:
204
<p>
Sunshine State bragging rights will be on the line as the Miami Heat and Orlando Magic prepare to do battle at the Amway Center in Orlando, Florida. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:05 PM EST and to be televised on FSN for regional audiences. In the last eight meetings between these two Southeast Division outfits, both teams have won four games each. The two teams last met four days ago in Miami where the Heat rolled the Magic by a score of 107-89.
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<h2>
Miami Heat at Orlando Magic Overview<br />
</h2>
<p>
The Heat enter into this contest off a home upset when they hosted the Brooklyn Nets last night. As a six-point choice, the Heat were defeated by BK 111-87. As for Orlando, they look like the Magic many are accustomed to seeing: a team that struggles to get wins. The Magic won their most recent game at home against Detroit when they defeated the Pistons 102-89 two nights ago. Inclusive of the aforementioned win over a ten-game sample, Orlando failed to win the other nine.
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<p>
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<h2>
Miami at Orlando Key Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
The Heat come in with an 18-17 straight up record but have shown to be overvalued frequently as they are 14-19-2 ATS.
</li>
<li>
As for Orlando, they have had a tad more value.
</li>
<li>
The Magic are just 12-24 SU but remain 13-22-1 ATS.
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<li>
At home, Orlando plays virtual .500 basketball as they are 7-9 SU in the Amway Center.
</li>
</ul>
<h2>
Public Money<br />
</h2>
<p>
In the early going we have seen the consensus gravitate towards the Magic as 91% of the cash has come in on Orlando. Despite this revelation, we have not seen the market move in any direction. On the Money Line, Orlando comes in with a tag of -105 whilst the Heat come in at -115. In Over/Under markets 100% of the cash and tickets have come in on the Under. As a result, we have seen this market plummet by four points.
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Miami Heat at Orlando Magic Pick
As a whole, the Magic defense remains one of the worst in the league across the board, as they give up an average of 110.2 points per game (28th in the NBA). This in itself makes the Over an attractive option given the low hanging fruit of the point spread. However, Orlando and Miami are both among the worst in the league in defending against the three-pointer specifically. The two teams collectively sit at 26th and 28th in the NBA in opponent three-point field goal percentage. In essence, this game has all the makings of being an offensive barnburner if both teams’ snipers get a hot hand. Given the extra cushion we have been given by heavy steam coming in on the Under, there is enhanced equity now in going the other way.
Free Pick:
Take the Over (204)
