Miami Heat at Cleveland Cavaliers Odds Analysis - Pick ATS

Miami Heat at Cleveland Cavaliers Odds Analysis - Pick ATS

Keith F
Date: November 28, 7:05 pm
Location: Quicken Loans Arena
TV: NBA TV

Betting Odds

Point Spread: MIA +4/CLE -4
Total: 209

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The Cleveland Cavaliers will play host to the Miami Heat at the Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland, Ohio. Affectionately known as “The Q”, the tip will come at 7:05 PM and is to be aired for subscribers on NBA TV. The affair will also be televised on regional platforms, including FSN and SPORTSNET. Miami has had Cleveland’s number as of late. The Heat have won five of the previous six contests between the two sides. The last meeting between both parties was a classic. Miami would defeat Cleveland at home 124-121 in overtime in October.
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Miami Heat at Cleveland Cavaliers Overview:<br />
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It’s LeBron’s old team versus his first and current team. One could call it the James Bowl but we’ll stick with the Cavs against the Heat. The Heat come in off quite the incendiary result, defeating the Bulls in Chicago last night as a third straight win. The Heat also own a win over the Beast of the East, the Boston Celtics during this span. Cleveland comes in red-hot as they have won eight straight. Most recently, Cleveland defeated Philadelphia in the City of Brotherly Love 113-91.
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Key Betting Trends:<br />
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Cleveland comes in at 13-7 SU while posting a 7-12-1 mark against the spread. As for the Heat, they enter at 10-9 SU while owning a 7-10-2 record against the spread. Cleveland has not been as dominant at home this season as they generally have been. The Cavs are just 6-4 SU in Cleveland.
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Miami Heat at Cleveland Cavaliers Public Money:<br />
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The initial line opened with Cleveland as a 5.5-point home favorite. Currently, that market has now moved by 1.5 points downward which means many are leaning on the Heat in the early going. Contrarily, 100% of the cash and money tickets are apparently pledged to the Cavaliers. In Over/Under markets, the number has diminished by an astounding five points to reflect substantial action on the Under.
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Miami Heat at Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction Nov/28/2017

While we consistently mine the boards to find value on a side, Over/Under plays can offer tremendous value as well. This is the case certainly today with the market in this contest. In six of their last eight outings, Cleveland has eclipsed the 110-point mark. The offense has undergone a burst of a catalytic fury and the league has felt its effects. Miami has broken the 100-point mark in each of their three consecutive victories. The culmination of both teams’ offensive operations hitting their stride cultivates a scenario where defenses are left by the waste side in what will be a high-scoring affair. While there may be many incentives for both Dewayne Wade and LeBron James to play their best against a team they both powered to a NBA Championship, that is narration that we cannot bank on and often sets up takers for a let-down. If the previous edition of this series is any indicator of what to expect, the Over has incredible upside here.

Free Pick: Take OVER 209
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