Miami Heat at Boston Celtics Game 4 Odds & Pick

Miami Heat at Boston Celtics Game 4 Odds & Pick

Darin Zank
Date: May 23, 8:30 pm
Location: TD Garden
TV: ABC

Betting Odds

Point Spread: MIA +7/BOS -7
Total: 205

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Boston looked like it was ready to take control of this Eastern Conference finals series but lost Game 3 at home. So the Celtics will try to even things up when the teams meet for Game 4 Monday night in Beantown. The betting to win this series opened with Boston favored by -175, with Miami getting +155. Then the Celtics were chalked at -295 following a Game 2 victory, with the Heat getting +235. Now, heading into Game 4, this series is lined as a -110 pick ‘em on both sides. Here’s how we homeworked this Game 4 with our <b>free NBA playoffs betting pick</b>.
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NBA Playoffs Betting Odds<br />
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The NBA playoffs betting lines opened Boston as a seven-point favorite for Game 4, with an over/under of right around 208.5. Early betting action then dipped the Celtics to -6.5 then back uip to -7, with the total plumetting to 205.
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Heat-Celtics Game 4 Betting Preview<br />
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After splitting the first two games of this Eastern Conference finals series in Miami, it appeared Boston was ready to take control with the next two games at home. Instead, the Heat regained the series lead with a 109-103 Game 3 victory Saturday night. Miami popped out to a 39-18 first-quarter lead and never trailed. The Heat led by 26 in the second quarter and by 15 through three quarters, then let the Celtics get back to within one point at 93-92 with just under three minutes to go. But Miami held on from there for the outright victory as five-point underdogs and cashed in +195 on the Game 3 money line. Also, Game 3 sneaked over a total of 208 thanks to 20 points combined in the last minute of the game! The Heat shot 47 percent from the floor Saturday, Boston 49 percent. And the Celtics won the battle on the glass 44-34. But most importantly, Miami won the turnover battle 24-9, coming up with an incredible 19 steals! With Saturday’s win, the Heat are now 10-4 SU and 8-5 ATS this postseason. With Saturday’s loss, the Celtics are now 9-5 SU, 8-5-1 ATS this postseason. Miami finished two games ahead of Boston in the regular-season standings, but the Celtics took the season series from the Heat two games to one. So these two teams have now split six meetings this season, both SU and ATS. On the injury front, Miami F Jimmy Butler missed the second half of Game 3 with a sore knee and is listed as questionable for Monday night, as are a couple-three other key Heat players. Meanwhile, Boston G Marcus Smart and C Robert Williams are also listed as questionable for Game 4. Bettors might be wise to consult later injury reports before getting down on this game.
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<span style="font-size:14px; color:#008000;">Get more details:</span> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/nba/matchup/1656196">Miami at Boston Game 4 Betting Stats</a>
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NBA Betting Trends<br />
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Boston is 4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS at home this postseason.
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Miami is 3-3, both SU and ATS on the road this postseason.
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Totals Report<br />
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The totals are split 7-7 in Celtics games this postseason, which are averaging 213 total points.
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The Under is 9-5 in Heat games this postseason, which are averaging 207 points.
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The Under is 3-0 in this series, with the games averaging 222 total points.
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Miami Heat at Boston Celtics Game 4 Odds & Free Pick

We bet Miami Saturday because we figured this series was due for a close game. And although that’s not quite how Game 3 played out, it worked for us. The Heat stole Game 3 basically without Butler, but they’re really banged up at the moment and may feel rest is the best situational remedy. Even if Miami loses Monday night, it will still own home-court advantage for what would be a best-of-three series. Meanwhile, Boston probably won’t turn the ball over 24 times Monday night. We’re not big believers in the “zig-zag” theory of betting NBA playoff basketball, but it’s 2-0 ATS in this series, and we’re betting it in this spot. We like the Celtics here, minus the points.

Free Pick: Take the Celtics -7
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