Houston Rockets at San Antonio Spurs Game 5 Point Spread - NBA Free Pick
Date:
May 9, 8:00 pm
Location:
AT&T Center
TV:
TNT
Betting Odds
Point Spread:
SPURS -5
Total:
215
<p>
The Houston Rockets will head back to the San Antonio Spurs at the AT&T Center for Game Five of the Western Conference Semifinals. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 PM and is to be aired for audiences on both TSN and TNT. The series has now equalized at two games per side after the Rockets took advantage of home court to win in Game Four against the Spurs. The most recent contest featured a 21-point victory by Clutch City at the Toyota Center.
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Houston Rockets at San Antonio Spurs Overview:<br />
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<p>
In this cross-Lone Star State rivalry, home court advantage has more or less been neutralized other than when the host is looking a two-game deficit in the face. Both teams have won their first games in their opponent’s arenas in this series and thus the San Antonio mystique of the AT&T Center has been put on ice for the Semifinals. Houston’s ambitious win in Game Four sets the stage for Clutch City to enter with some huge momentum. However, injuries sustained by both teams make the Game Five forecast all the more nebulous.
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Key Betting Trends:<br />
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<p>
The Rockets own a 61-30 record overall while posting a 47-44 mark against the spread. San Antonio comes in at 67-25 straight up while they sit at 47-43-2 against the spread. San Antonio is 35-11 at home this season, though Houston won Game One on the Spurs’ own court.
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<h2>
Rockets at Spurs Public Money:<br />
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<p>
In the early going we have seen 80% of the public like the Spurs against the spread. On the contrary we have seen an initial line movement of a point on Houston from +6 to +5. In this market, Houston is priced at -105 while the Spurs require more juice at -115. In Money Line markets, Houston is priced as a +188 underdog compared to San Antonio who enters as a -225 favorite. 61% of the public like the Spurs in this situation. The Over/Under sits at 215 with 93% of the consensus liking the Over.
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Houston Rockets at San Antonio Spurs Game 5 Prediction
Typically we fancy playing on a team on the Money Line or against the spread in almost all of our plays. However, given the injuries both teams have suffered and the uncertainty that these injuries create for both sides, there may be more value here in an Over/Under play, exclusively. The Spurs have lost key player, point man Tony Parker for the rest of the season. Parker has been instrumental in virtually every San Antonio post-season run previously and his absence will assuredly be a detriment to their cause. Houston also announced that forward, Nene will be absent in Game Five and he has been a breakout star of sorts for the Rockets in their playoff campaign. The effects of both these injuries may garner a more conservative approach by both teams and thus the Under is likely the best choice here in Game Five.
Free Pick:
Take the UNDER 215
