Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview and Pick
Date:
March 9, 7:30 pm
Location:
FedExForum
TV:
NBA TV
Betting Odds
Point Spread:
Warriors -4
Total:
243.5.
Last 5 Games
The Golden State Warriors (34-32) have been playing well lately, winning 3 of their last 5 games. However, they lost their most recent game to the Oklahoma City Thunder, 128-137. The Warriors were 4-point favorites in that game, and it went over the total of 243.5. The Memphis Grizzlies (38-26) have been struggling, losing 3 of their last 5 games. They lost their most recent game to the Los Angeles Lakers, 103-112. The Grizzlies were 1-point favorites in that game, and it went under the total of 224.
Power Stats
Assists/Turnovers
The Memphis Grizzlies average 25.23 assists per game and 13.02 turnovers per game, while the Golden State Warriors average 29.67 assists per game and 15.73 turnovers per game. The Warriors have a slight edge in assists, but the Grizzlies take better care of the ball with a lower turnover ratio of 1.94 compared to 1.89 for the Warriors.
Rebounding
The Grizzlies have a slight edge in rebounding, averaging 47.22 rebounds per game compared to the Warriors' 44.08 rebounds per game. The Grizzlies also have a slightly better offensive rebounding average of 12.45 compared to the Warriors' 10.06.
Shooting Percentage
The Grizzlies have a better shooting percentage than the Warriors, with an offensive shooting percentage of 46.74 compared to the Warriors' 47.59. On defense, the Grizzlies allow a shooting percentage of 44.87, while the Warriors allow a shooting percentage of 47.02. The Grizzlies have a differential of 1.87 compared to the Warriors' 0.57.
Betting Odds Trends
Looking at the betting odds trends, Memphis has covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 games and has been particularly strong at home, covering the spread in 4 of their last 5 home games and winning all 5 of those games outright. However, they have struggled against Golden State, going 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against them. Golden State has been slightly better in their last 7 games, covering the spread in 5 of them and winning 5 of their last 7 games outright.
Injuries
In terms of injuries, Golden State's K. Looney, J. Kuminga, and A. Iguodala are all listed as probable for this game, while A. Wiggins and G. Payton II remain out indefinitely. For Memphis, J. Morant is out indefinitely due to suspension, and V. Williams Jr. is listed as out with a shoulder injury.
Warriors vs Grizzlies Free Pick 03/09/23
Reviewing the statistical data and trends, it's clear that both teams are evenly matched, with Memphis having a slight advantage in assists turnovers and shooting percentage, while Golden State has the advantage in rebounding. However, Golden State has been slightly better in their last few games and has historically had the upper hand against Memphis. It’s not a strong play, but with that in mind, I predict that Golden State will win this game outright and cover the spread. Additionally, I predict that the total will go over, as both teams have been scoring well recently and the total has gone over in 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matchups.
Free Pick:
Take the Over 243.5.
