Boston Celtics at Washington Wizards Free NBA Playoff Pick - Betting Odds

Boston Celtics at Washington Wizards Free NBA Playoff Pick - Betting Odds

Keith F
Date: May 7, 6:30 pm
Location: Verizon Center
TV: TNT

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Washington -4.5
Total: 216

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<strong>Eastern Conference Semifinals - Game Four</strong>
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The Washington Wizards will curate the hosting duties in the Nation’s Capital as they welcome the top-seed of the East, the Boston Celtics at to the Verizon Center for Game Four of the Eastern Conference Semifinals. Tip-off is scheduled for 6:30 PM ET and due to be aired for national audiences on TNT. The Wizards come in off an astounding Game Three win when they rolled the Celtics by a score of 116-89 as a 5.5-point home favorite.
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<h2>
Boston Celtics at Washington Wizards Overview<br />
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After Boston jumped out to a 2-0 lead, the Wizards responded with authority on their own court. The contest was pure domination as the Wizards led wire-to-gate and did in fact lead by as much 30 points. Boston shot just 35% on the night overall.
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<h2>
Boston at Washington Key Betting Trends<br />
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The Wizards come in at 54-37 straight up while owning 46-44-1 record against the spread.
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As for the Celtics, they come in at 59-32 SU while owning a 46-43-2 record against the spread.
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At home the Wizards have now improved to 34-11 SU on the year.
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<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
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In the early going, we have seen a huge lean by the public on the Wizards, as 94% of the public like the Wizards against the spread. On the Money Line, the Wizards are offered as a -185 favorite compared to the Celtics who are come in as a +165 choice on the Money Line. In this situation, the public has been a bit more conservative as 54% of the public like the Wizards in this scenario. In Over/Under markets, the price remains at 216 with 64% of the consensus liking the Under.
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Boston Celtics at Washington Wizards Prediction

In a rare occasion, we get an opportunity to take back the best team in the East in terms of wins and losses at a likely favorable price. When that situation sets up, we will be prompted to step in every time. Let’s not forget that targeting overreactions is not a practice solely that targets favorites. Sometimes, an underdog can actually undervalue a blue-chip team such as the Celtics. Home court advantage is a key point of this series and an area of focus for markets to value. So far in this series, the home team is 3-0 SU and this is a prevailing factor in the price one must pay in this situation. Furthermore the home team has been the favorite in each of these contests and has also successfully covered, so the consensus is emphasizing this in their reaction. The fact remains, the Wizards won by nearly 30 points and they are priced cheaper than they were in Game Three. This undoubtedly seems to be a trap play for anyone stepping on the Wizards and we will have no part.

Free Pick: Take Boston +4.5
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