Boston Celtics at Denver Nuggets Odds Analysis - Free Pick - January 29 - 2018

Boston Celtics at Denver Nuggets Odds Analysis - Free Pick - January 29 - 2018

David Schwab
Date: January 29, 9:00 pm
Location: Pepsi Center
TV: NBC

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Denver -1
Total: 204

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Sunday’s betting action in the NBA closes things out with an inter-conference matchup between the Boston Celtics and the Denver Nuggets. Tip-off from the Pepsi Center in Denver is set for 9 p.m. (ET) and NBA TV will carry the game nationally.
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Boston at Denver Game Overview<br />
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The Celtics have dropped five of their last six games straight-up after dropping a 109-105 decision against Golden State on Saturday as 10.5-point road underdogs. The total stayed UNDER 219.5 points in that loss after it had gone OVER in four of their previous six games. Boston’s lead in the Eastern Conference standings over Toronto is down to just a game and a half amid this slide. The Celtics are now 17-7 SU (16-8 ATS) on the road this season.
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Kyrie Irving scored 37 points against Golden State and Jaylen Brown added 20 points to the losing cause, but Boston’s normally stout defense had no answer for the Warriors’ Stephen Curry, who went off for 49 points. The Celtics are ranked 23rd in the NBA in scoring with an average of 102.9 points per game, but they move all the way to second in the league in points allowed (98.5). Their points-allowed average has grown to 104.5 over their last six outings.
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With a modest three-game winning streak SU (1-1-1 ATS), the Nuggets are holding onto eighth place in the Western Conference standings at 26-23. They have gone 19-6 SU on their home court with a 13-11-1 record ATS. The total stayed UNDER 209 points in Saturday’s 91-89 victory against Dallas as an eight-point home favorite and it has stayed UNDER in eight of Denver’s last nine games.
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Led by a roster that is six deep in double-digit scorers, the Nuggets are 12th in the league in points with 106.1 a game. They move to 11th at the other end of the court with a points-allowed average of 105.5. Gary Harris continues to lead the way with 17.3 PPG and he has put up a combined 47 points in his last two games while going 16-for-30 from the field. Jamal Murry added 15 points playing off the bench in Saturday’s win against the Mavericks. He is the team’s second-leading scorer this year (16.3 PPG).
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Boston at Denver Game Betting Trends<br />
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The Celtics are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against the Western Conference, but they have failed to cover in four of their last five Monday games. The total has gone OVER in eight of their last 11 games against the Northwest Division.
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The Nuggets have gone 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games against the Atlantic Division, but they have failed to cover in four of their last five games coming off a SU win. The total has stayed UNDER in eight or their last nine home games.
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Head-to-head in this inter-conference clash, the underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in five of the last seven meetings in Denver.
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Boston at Denver ATS Prediction

You would think that Boston would snap out of this current funk to even its record to 2-2 SU in the final stop of this four-game road trip with a win on Monday night, but that just might not be the case. Denver has built up some decent momentum with those last three victories at home and it would love to head back on the road against San Antonio this Tuesday night with a fourth-straight win under its belt. I happen to agree with this scenario when it comes to my ‘best bet’ pick for Monday night with a Nuggets getting that win both SU and ATS.

Free Pick: Take Denver-1
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