Toronto Blue Jays at Milwaukee Brewers Odds - Free Pick

Toronto Blue Jays at Milwaukee Brewers Odds - Free Pick

The Green Man
Date: May 23, 7:40 pm
Location: Miller Park
TV: FSN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Brewers -115 / Blue Jays +105
Total: 9

<p>
It’s the 19-26 Toronto Blue Jays versus the 25-19 Milwaukee Brewers in the first game of a two-game set at Miller Park in Milwaukee, Wisconsin tonight. The first pitch at Miller Park is scheduled for 7:40 PM ET.
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<p>
The Brewers are listed as the moneyline favorite for this game with backers having to lay -115. The total is on most sportsbook’s betting boards at 9 runs.
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<p>
In their last game the Blue Jays beat the Baltimore Orioles 3-1. In the game the Blue Jays scored three runs on six hits and the Orioles scored one run on seven hits.
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In their last game the Brewers lost to the Chicago Cubs 13-6. In the game the Brewers scored six runs on 13 hits and the Cubs scored 13 runs on 15 hits.
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This season the Blue Jays rank tied for 21st in the Majors in runs scored and 14th in team ERA.
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The Brewers rank tied for 3rd in the Majors in runs scored and 15th in team ERA.
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<h2>
Pitching Match Up<br />
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<p>
Toronto: Joe Biagini (1-2, 3.41 ERA)<br />
Milwaukee: Jimmy Nelson (2-2, 3.86 ERA)
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<p>
Joe Biagini gets the call for the Blue Jays tonight and he did not have a good last start going four innings and giving up five earned runs in an 8-4 loss to the Atlanta. Braves. This game will only be his 4th career start. Previous to his last starts Biagini was solid not giving up any earned runs in two appearances where he totaled nine innings. This game will be Biagini’s first career start against the Brewers and he faced them early this season out of the bullpen throwing a scoreless inning of relief. In three starts on the season he is 1-1 with an ERA of 3.46.
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<p>
Jimmy Nelson gets the starting nod for the Brewers and his last start was a good one where he went six innings and gave up two earned runs in a 6-2 win over the San Diego Padres. Before Nelson’s last outing the Brewers had lost five straight with him on the hill even though he has been slid as of late. In Nelson’slast15 innings of work hitting are only batting .193 against him and in that span he has an ERA of 1.15. Overall, The Brewers are 8-21 in Nelson’s last 29 starts and they are only 1-5 in his last six starts at home. On top of that Milwaukee has only won two of his last 10 starts against a team with a winning record.
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<h2>
Betting Angles<br />
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<p>
The Brewers are 10-4 in their last 14 games against the Blue Jays.
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The Brewers are 6-2 in their last 8 home games against the Blue Jays.
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In the last 7 games between these teams in Milwaukee the Over record is 6-1.
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This season the Brewers are 12-11 at home and the Blue Jays are 9-15 on the road.
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<h2>
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records<br />
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<p>
Toronto Blue Jays: 19-26 SU / O/U 22-21 / Run Line W/L 21-24<br />
Milwaukee Brewers: 25-19 SU / O/U 28-15 / Run Line W/L 29-15
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<h2>
Toronto at Milwaukee Key Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
<li>
TOR is 2-5 in their last 7 overall
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TOR is 8-17 in their last 25 vs. a team with a winning record
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TOR has an Over record of 10-4 in their last 14 road games
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MIL is 6-1 in their last 7 home games
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MIL is 4-1 in their last 5 overall
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MIL has an Over record of 15-3 in their last 18 home games
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</ul>
<h2>
Key Player Injuries<br />
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<p>
<b>BLUE JAYS</b><br />
[1B] 05/15/2017 - Steve Pearce 10-day DL (5/15) ( Calf )<br />
[P] 05/11/2017 - Francisco Liriano 10-day DL (5/11) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 05/20/2017 - Aaron Sanchez 10-day DL (5/18) ( Finger )<br />
[CF] 05/20/2017 - Darrell Ceciliani 10-day DL (5/19) ( Shoulder )<br />
(!)[3B] 04/14/2017 - Josh Donaldson 10-day DL (4/13) ( Calf )<br />
[P] 04/18/2017 - J.A. Happ 10-day DL (4/18) ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 04/09/2017 - Bo Schultz 60-day DL (3/30) ( Elbow )<br />
[CF] 04/03/2017 - Dalton Pompey 60-day DL (3/30) ( Concussion )<br />
[P] 04/03/2017 - Glenn Sparkman 60-day DL (3/30) ( Thumb )
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<b>BREWERS</b><br />
(!)[1B] 05/22/2017 - Eric Thames left last game, "?" Tuesday vs. Toronto ( Leg )<br />
[P] 04/03/2017 - Junior Guerra 10-day DL (4/4) ( Calf )
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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

The Brewers took the two games facing the Blue Jays north of the border early this season and they are a slight betting favorite in this game. The Blue Jays won their last game to avoid being swept by the Baltimore Orioles and they are in the basement of the AL East 8.5 games out of first place. They lost five of their last seven games. The Brewers had won four in a row before the loss in their last game and they are atop the NL Central. In their recent four-game win streak their pitching got it done only giving up a total of eight runs, but then gave up 13 in their last game. Nelson has been pitching well lately and he will continue to do that tonight. On the other side of the coin Biagini is coming off a rough last start and he will get roughed up by the Milwaukee lineup. Milwaukee will stay hot and win this game, which will be their 3rd in a row over the Blue Jays.

Free Pick: Take the Brewers -115
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