Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Odds - Free MLB Pick
Betting Odds
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It’s the 74-56 Toronto Blue Jays versus the 71-59 Baltimore Orioles in the first of a three game set in Baltimore, Maryland tonight. The first pitch at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 7:05 PM ET. In Toronto’s last game they beat the Minnesota Twins 9-6 and the different was Blue Jays slugger Josh Donaldson hitting three HR’s. The Orioles avoided the series sweep in their last game beating the New York Yankees 5-0 with starter Kevin Gausman taming the Yankees bats that had scored 27 runs in winning the first two games of the series.
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The Blue Jays have won three in a row and they are in first place in the AL East two games up on the Boston Red Sox and three games up on the Orioles. Toronto is very balanced ranking 5th in runs scored and 6th in team ERA. In their three-game sweep of the Twins in their last series the Blue Jays totaled 32 runs.
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The Orioles had lost three in a row before winning their last game. They had a shutout in their win over the Yankees and in their previous three games they had given up 31 runs. Baltimore ranks 8th in the Majors in runs scored, but only 23rd in team ERA.
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Pitching Match Up
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Toronto: Marco Estrada (7-6, 3.47 ERA) Baltimore: Wade Miley (8-10, 5.51 ERA)
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Marco Estrada goes for the Blue Jays tonight and in his last outing he was not sharp giving up six earned runs in five innings in an 8-2 loss to the L.A. Angels. Toronto has lost two of his last three starts and in his last two starts he has given up a combined 11 earned runs. The Blue Jays are 5-1 in Estrada’s last 6 starts against the Orioles.
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Wade Miley gets the call for the Orioles and in his last start he gave up two earned runs in five innings in a 10-8 win over the Washington Nationals. Baltimore has won his last two outings and before his last start he had given up six earned runs in each of his previous two starts. In Miley’s five starts for the Orioles since coming over in a trade from the Seattle Mariners he is 1-2 with an ERA of 8.18.
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Betting Angles
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The Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 home games against the Blue Jays. In the last 8 games between these teams the Over record is 6-2. This season the Orioles are 42-22 at home and the Blue Jays are 34-28 on the road. Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records Toronto Blue Jays: 74-56 SU / O/U 53-71 / Run Line W/L 69-61 Baltimore Orioles: 71-59 SU / O/U 59-68 / Run Line W/L 66-64
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Toronto at Baltimore Key Betting Trends
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TOR is 19-9 in their last 28 vs. a team with a winning record.
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TOR is 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
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TOR has an Over record of 4-1-1 in their last 6 games.
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BAL is 47-22 in their last 69 home games.
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BAL is 15-7 in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
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BAL has an Over record of 15-4 in their last 19 home games.
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Key Player Injuries
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<strong>ORIOLES</strong>
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[P] 08/19/2016 - Dylan Bundy "?" for next scheduled start ( Ankle )
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[ [P] 08/13/2016 - Darren O'Day 15-day DL (8/12) ( Shoulder )
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[ [P] 08/24/2016 - Chris Tillman 15-day DL (8/21) ( Shoulder )
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[CF] 08/28/2016 - Adam Jones "?" Monday vs. Toronto Blue Jays (Hamstring )
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[ [RF] 07/22/2016 - Joey Rickard 15-day DL (7/21) ( Thumb )
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[ [P] 06/21/2016 - Brian Duensing 15-day DL (6/20) ( Elbow )
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<strong>BLUE JAYS</strong>
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[P] 08/25/2016 - Aaron Sanchez out indefinitely ( Hamstring )
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[P] 08/26/2016 - J.A. Happ "?" for next scheduled start ( Foot )
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[P] 06/27/2016 - Gavin Floyd 60-day DL (6/26) ( Shoulder )
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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction
The Blue Jays have the slight 7-6 edge in the season series against the Orioles this season and in their last series facing them they won the first two games totaling 15 runs while losing the last game only scoring two. Orioles’ starter Miley will face a Blue Jays’ lineup that totaled 32 runs in their last series, which was a three-game sweep of the Twins. He has not been pitching well since coming over from Seattle, but in his 2nd to last start with them before the trade he held the Blue Jays to two runs in six innings in a 2-0 Mariners loss.
Marco Estrada has not pitched well in his last two outings and he has an ERA of 6.00 in four August starts. He has faced the Orioles three times this season and after the Blue Jays dropped his first start facing them they have won their last two against them with him on the hill. In his last two starts Estrada has given up five HR and he faces a Baltimore lineup that has the most HR’s in the Majors. Tough call in this one, but going with the Orioles. They have won both series at home this season facing Toronto and they will win the first game of this series in what will not be a pitcher’s duel, which is why the OVER is also a good pick.