St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves

St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves

Darin Zank
Date: July 6, 7:00 pm
Location: Truist Park

Betting Odds

Moneyline: St. L +153/Atl -166
Total: 8.5un -125

<p>The best match-up on Wednesday’s baseball betting board involves a couple National League playoffs contenders as the Braves and Cardinals play game three of a four-game series in Georgia. Lefty Max Fried goes for Atlanta here against Miles Mikolas for St. Louis.</p>
<p>Who do we like for our <b>free STL/ATL betting pick</b>?</p>
<h2>MLB Betting Odds</h2>
<p>Wednesday’s baseball betting lines opened Atlanta and Fried at around -180 over St. Louis and Mikolas, with an over/under of 8.5 runs. Early betting action then dipped the Braves a dime to -170.</p>
<h2>Cardinals-Braves MLB Betting Preview </h2>
<p>Atlanta won the opener of this series Monday 6-3, then took Tuesday’s game 7-1. The Braves rapped out 10 hits Monday, then 12 more on Tuesday.</p>
<p>Atlanta won Monday as a -170 favorite on the dime line and covered against the run line at a price of +110. The Braves then won Tuesday at -140 and covered against the run line at +135.</p>
<p>With Tuesday’s win Atlanta is 6-2 over its last eight games. At 48-34 overall the Braves now trail the first-place Mets by just 2.5 games in the NL East race.</p>
<p>With Tuesday’s loss St. Louis is 1-5 over its last six games. At 44-39 overall the Cardinals trail first-place Milwaukee by three games in the NL Central.</p>
<p>This series is the first meeting between these teams this season. Last year Atlanta took the season series from St. Louis six games to one.</p>
<h2>Wednesday's Pitching Match-Up </h2>
<p><a class="advblue"href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/100291&quot; title="Max Fried Pitching Game Logs">Fried</a>, by our tough standards, is 11/16 on quality starts this season and working on a run of three in a row. Last Friday he held Cincinnati to one run and five hits through seven innings of a 9-1 Atlanta victory. And over his last three starts he’s allowed just four runs and 16 hits through 20 2/3 innings, with three walks against 21 strikeouts.</p>
<p>The Braves are 12-4 with Fried this season, 8-0 his last eight times out.</p>
<p>Over two starts against St. Louis last season Fried allowed one run and six hits through 13 innings. Atlanta won both those games.</p>
<p><a class="advblue"href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/40285&quot; title="Miles Mikolas Pitching Game Stats">Mikolas</a> is 10/16 on quality starts this year and four for his last five. Last Friday he gave up four runs - only two were earned - and six hits through 5 1/3 innings of a 5-3 Cardinals loss to Philadelphia. But over his four starts previous to that he allowed just six runs - five earned - and 12 hits through 29 innings, with four walks against 27 whiffs.</p>
<p>St. Louis is 9-7 with Mikolas this season and that’s probably three games worse than it should be.</p>
<p>This will be Mikolas’ first start against Atlanta since 2019, which is kinda already a long time ago.</p>
<h2>Splits With the Sticks </h2>
<p>St. Louis is batting .265 against left-handed pitching this season, with a .339 team OBP and a .439 team slugging percentage. Numbers like those lead us to rank this line-up among the top four in Baseball in this split.</p>
<p>Atlanta is slashing .246/.308/.435 against right-handed pitching.</p>
<h2>The Bullpens </h2>
<p>The Braves bullpen owns a 3.24 ERA this season, along with a 1.18 WHIP.</p>
<p>The Cardinals pen owns a 3.51 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP.<br />
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<span style="font-size:14px; color:#008000;">Get more details:</span> <a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1598786">St. Louis at Atlanta 7/6/22 Betting Stats</a>
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<h2>MLB Betting Trends </h2>
<ul>
<li>St. Louis is 20-23 on the road this season and 9-7 against left-handed starters.</li>
<li>Atlanta is 26-17 at home and 28-26 against right-handed starters.</li>
</ul>
<h2>Totals Report</h2>
<ul>
<li>The overs are 40-39 in Cardinals games this season.</li>
<li>The overs are 41-38 in Braves games.</li>
<li>The overs are 23-20 at Truist Park this season.</li>
</ul>

Cardinals at Braves Moneyline Prediction 7/6/22

We give Fried the edge in the pitching match-up but it’s close. From there Atlanta owns a slight edge in the bullpen comparison but St. Louis gets the check-mark in the splits with the sticks. So when was add all that up we don’t believe the Braves should be favored by nearly that much. Betting baseball is often about finding the value on the dime lines and we like the value with the Cardinals getting that very tempting underdog price. 

Free Pick: Take St. Louis +153
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