Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros Odds, Tips, Predictions

Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros Odds, Tips, Predictions

Darin Zank
Date: July 28, 8:10 pm
Location: Minute Maid Park
TV: ATTH

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mariners +122/Astros -132
Total: 8.5un -114

<p>The first-place Astros and second-place Mariners conclude their 19-game season series with a four-game set in Houston beginning Thursday night. Jose Urquidy hits the hill for the home team here against Logan Gilbert for the visitors.</p>
<p>Which way are we going here for our <b>free SEA/HOU pick</b>?</p>
<h2>MLB Betting Odds</h2>
<p>Thursday's baseball betting lines opened Houston at around -150 over Seattle, with an over/under of eight runs. Both those figures were holding steady in the early betting action.</p>
<h2>Mariners-Astros MLB Betting Preview </h2>
<p>Seattle just swept three games from Texas by scores of 4-3, 5-4, and Wednesday 4-2. Just before that, the Mariners got swept three games by this Houston team, but just before that, they swept four games from the Rangers. Going back a bit further, Seattle is 8-1 over its last nine series and 24-6 over its last 30 games.</p>
<p>Houston, meanwhile, just got swept three games in Oakland by scores of 7-5, 5-3, and Wednesday 4-2. But just before that, the Astros swept three games from this Mariners team, and just before that, they swept two games from the Yankees. So Houston is 2-1 over its last three series and 5-3 over its last eight games.</p>
<p>At 64-35 overall, the Astros lead the AL West by ten games over 54-45 Seattle. Houston also now only trails the Yankees by two games in the battle for the best record in the American League.</p>
<p>The Mariners, meanwhile, also own the No. 2 spot in the AL wild-card standings.</p>
<p>This series is the last meeting between these division rivals this season. The Astros lead the season series with Seattle nine games to six.</p>
<h2>Thursday's Pitching Match-Up </h2>
<p>This pitching match-up is a three-match of two games played earlier this season, both Seattle victories.</p>
<p><a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/282377&quot; title="Jose Urquidy Pitching Game Logs">Urquidy</a> is 8/18 on quality starts this season and running on a string of six in a row. Last Friday, he held this Seattle team to one run and four hits through six innings of a 5-2 Houston victory. And over his last six starts, he's held opponents to 10 runs and 21 hits through 39 1/3 innings.</p>
<p>The Astros are 12-6 with Urquidy this season, and that's about what they should be, based on his performances.</p>
<p>Over four starts already this season against the Mariners, Urquidy allowed 18 runs - 16 earned - and 31 hits, including five home runs, through 19 total innings. Houston lost three of those four games.</p>
<p><a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/396216&quot; title="Logan Gilbert Pitching Game Stats">Gilbert</a> is 8/20 on quality starts this year. Last Saturday, he held these Astros to two runs and five hits through six innings, although Seattle lost that game 3-1. And over his last three starts, he's allowed six runs and 18 hits through 17 innings.</p>
<p>The Mariners are 14-6 with Gilbert this season, and that's also about right, based on his performances.</p>
<p>Over three starts already this season against Houston, Gilbert allowed five runs and 16 hits through 19 innings. Seattle won two of those three games.</p>
<h2>Splits With the Sticks </h2>
<p>Seattle is batting .234 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .314 team OBP and a .389 team slugging percentage.</p>
<p>Houston is slashing .241/.321/.427 against right-handed pitching.</p>
<h2>The Bullpens</h2>
<p>The Astros bullpen owns an ML-best 2.75 ERA this season, along with a 1.13 WHIP.</p>
<p>The Mariners pen owns a 3.45 ERA and an ML-best 1.10 WHIP.<br />
<section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px; color:#008000;">Get more details:</span> <a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1608011">Seattle at Houston 7/28/22 Betting Stats</a>
</li>
</ul>
<p></section></p>
<h2>MLB Betting Trends</h2>
<p>Seattle is 27-22 on the road this season and 46-31 against right-handed starters.</p>
<p>Houston is 30-14 at home and 41-24 against right-handed starters.</p>
<h2>Totals Report </h2>
<ul>
<li>The Under is 50-46 in Mariners games this season.</li>
<li>The Under is 59-36 in Astros games.</li>
<li>The Under is 27-15 at Minute Maid Park this season.</li>
<li>The Under is 9-6 in Mariners-Astros games this season.</li>
</ul>

Mariners vs. Astros Prediction 7/28/22

We give Gilbert the edge in the pitching match-up because of the better recent track record against these opponents. But from there, we give Houston short edges in both the splits with the sticks and the bullpen comparison. Also, we note that the Astros batted 2/18 with runners in scoring position during their three games in Oakland earlier this week, but that's a stat we expect to reverse upon itself over the near future. So we're betting Houston for our free baseball pick for Thursday.

 

Free Pick: Take Houston
Get $60 Free Picks