New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals Pick - Odds Analysis

New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals Pick - Odds Analysis

Rich Crew
Date: May 18, 8:15 pm
Location: Kaufman Stadium
TV: FSN

Betting Odds

Runline: NYY -1.5 -110
Total: 9.5

<p>In their last two games, the Yankees have had one postponed and one suspended due to weather, so this may be their first completed game since May 13th. In that game, they got the money against the Athletics taking the last two games for their seventh straight series win. New York has been a strong road team this season with a .666 win percentage winning 10 of 15 games away from Yankee Stadium.
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<p>The Royals lost to the Tampa Bay Rays 5-3 in their latest extending their losing streak to five games. The defeat was also their third consecutive at home bringing their record at Kauffman Stadium to an embarrassing 6-16 on the season.
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<p>This game will be the first meeting of the season between these two clubs in 2018. In 2017 the Yankees took five of seven in the series including two of three on the road.
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<p>This season the Yankees rank 2nd in runs scored and 10th in team ERA and the Royals rank tied for 23rd in runs scored and 30th in team ERA.
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<h2>Pitching Match-Up</h2>
<p>New York: CC Sabathia (2-0 2.23 ERA)<br><br />
Kansas City: Jakob Junis (4-3 3.53 ERA)</p>
<p>Sabathia had his worst performance of the season in his last giving up four earned runs in four innings getting a no-decision in a 5-4 loss to the Boston Red Sox. The Yankees had won his previous four starts where he threw a total of 23 innings allowing just one earned run. The Yankees have feasted Sabathia’s last eight starts against the Royals going 7-1, and they are a perfect 5-0 in his previous five starts facing them in Kansas City.
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<p>In Junis’ last start he was tagged for four runs on six hits in six innings in a 6-2 loss to the Cleveland Indians. The Royals had won his previous two starts where he gave up two earned runs in each of them over a combined 13 innings. Junis has given up 11 HR in his last six starts and in his only career start against the Yankees, which was last season, he gave up six runs in five innings of work. Note that the Royals are bankroll boosting 8-3 in Junis’ last 11 home starts.
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<h2>Betting Angles </h2>
<p>The Yankees are 78-36 In their last 114 games against the Royals. </p>
<p>The Yankees are 4-1 in their last five road games against the Royals.</p>
<p>In the last five games between these teams, the Under record is 4-1. </p>
<h2>Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records </h2>
<p>New York Yankees: 28-12 SU / O/U 23-16 / Run Line W/L 23-17<br />
Kansas City Royals: 13-30 SU / O/U 17-24 / Run Line W/L 16-27</p>
<h2>Key Betting Trends</h2>
<ul>
<li>NYY is 7-1 in their last eight road games</li>
<li>NYY is 4-1 in their previous five road games against a right-hand starter</li>
<li>NYY has an Under record of 4-1 in their last five road games</li>
<li>KC is 1-4 in their last five home games</li>
<li>KC is 10-25 in their previous 35 games</li>
<li>KC has an Under record of 5-1 in their last six home games</li>
</ul>
<h2>Key Player Injuries </h2>
<p>YANKEES<br><br />
[P] 04/04/2018 - Ben Heller 60-day DL (03/27) ( Elbow )<br><br />
[P] 04/20/2018 - Luis Cessa 10-day DL (04/18) ( Oblique )<br><br />
[P] 04/17/2018 - Tommy Kahnle 10-day DL (04/16) ( Shoulder )<br><br />
[P] 04/21/2018 - Adam Warren 10-day DL (04/21) ( Back )<br><br />
[P] 05/02/2018 - Jordan Montgomery 10-day DL (05/02) ( Elbow )<br><br />
[CF] 05/02/2018 - Jacoby Ellsbury 60-day DL (03/26) ( Oblique )<br><br />
[RF] 04/01/2018 - Billy McKinney 10-day DL (04/01) ( Shoulder )<br><br />
[LF] 03/29/2018 - Clint Frazier 7-day DL (03/26) ( Concussion )<br><br />
[1B] 03/29/2018 - Greg Bird 10-day DL (03/26) ( Ankle )</p>
<p>ROYALS<br><br />
[CF] 03/26/2018 - Bubba Starling 10-day DL (03/26) ( Oblique )<br><br />
[P] 03/26/2018 - Jesse Hahn 60-day DL (03/06) ( Elbow )<br><br />
[P] 03/30/2018 - Nathan Karns 10-day DL (03/26) ( Elbow )<br><br />
[P] 04/25/2018 - Justin Grimm 10-day DL (04/22) ( Back )<br><br />
[1B] 05/15/2018 - Lucas Duda 10-day DL (05/14) ( Foot )<br><br />
[LF] 05/16/2018 - Jorge Soler is "?" Friday vs. New York Yankees ( Ribs )</p>

Yankees at Royals Prediction 5/18/18

I’m willing to take a shot laying 1.5 runs in this spot on the Yanks who are a positive 7.01 units flat betting them on the run line this season. Their offense has been impressive scoring four or greater runs in 11 of their last 12. Kansas City has been getting blown out frequently this season, and their current funk has seen five of their previous seven defeats being by two or more runs. Royals starter Jakob Junis has been beatable at home this season losing two of his last three and was blown up for six runs in 5 2/3 innings on the road last season in NY.

Free Pick: Take the NY Yankees -1.5 -110
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