Minnesota Twins at San Diego Padres Odds & Best Bet

Minnesota Twins at San Diego Padres Odds & Best Bet

Darin Zank
Date: July 30, 7:15 pm
Location: Petco Park
TV: Fox

Betting Odds

Moneyline: MIN +118 / SD -128
Total: 7.5un -120

<p>After taking the opener of this three-game inter-league series Friday night, the Padres go looking for more Saturday night at Petco Park. Joe Musgrove, the owner of a fat new contract, hits the hill for the home team here against Sonny Gray for Minnesota.</p>
<p>Who do we like for our <b>free MIN/SD pick</b>?</p>
<h2>MLB Betting Odds </h2>
<p>Saturday's baseball betting lines opened San Diego and Musgrove at around -128 over Minnesota and Gray, with an over/under of 7.5 runs. Both figures were holding steady in the early betting action.</p>
<h2>Twins-Padres MLB Betting Preview </h2>
<p> San Diego grabbed the opener of this series Friday night, 10-1. The Padres, wearing some of the worst jerseys we've ever seen, hit five home runs Friday by five different guys while getting a quality six innings from Blake Snell on their way to victory.</p>
<p>San Diego won Friday as a -130 favorite on the dime line and covered against the run line at a price of +160.</p>
<p>With Friday's win, the Padres are 6-4 over their last ten games. At 56-45 overall, San Diego trails the first-place Dodgers by 12 games in the NL West, but they also own the No. 2 spot in the National League wild-card standings.</p>
<p>With Friday's loss, Minnesota now owns a three-game losing skid. At 52-47 overall, the Twins still lead the AL Central but now by just one game over second-place Cleveland.</p>
<p>This series is the first meeting between these teams since 2017.</p>
<h2>Saturday's Pitching Match-Up </h2>
<p><a class-:advblue" "href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/79907&quot; title="Joe Musgrove Pitching Game Logs">Musgrove</a> is 14/17 on quality starts this season but 0 for his last two. Last Sunday, he gave up four runs and five hits through 5 1/3 innings of an 8-5 San Diego loss to the Mets. And in his previous start, he gave up five runs and nine hits through five frames of a 10-6 loss to Colorado.</p>
<p>The Padres are 12-5 with Musgrove this season but only 1-4 his last five times out.</p>
<p>In his last start against Minnesota, two years ago while with Pittsburgh, Musgrove gave up five runs in less than four innings of a 7-3 Pirates loss. And about a handful of Twins who batted in that game will probably bat Saturday night.</p>
<p><a class-"advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/48323&quot; title="Sonny Gray Pitching Game Stats">Gray</a> is 5/14 on quality starts this year and only one for his last four. Last Sunday, he held Detroit to one run and two hits through six innings of a 9-1 Twins win. But over his three starts previous to that, he gave up 14 runs and 19 hits through 13 1/3 innings.</p>
<p>Minnesota is 9-5 with Gray this season, 3-3 his last six times out.</p>
<p>In his last start against San Diego three seasons ago while with Cincinnati, Gray allowed just one run through six innings of a 3-2 Reds win.</p>
<h2>Splits With the Sticks </h2>
<p>Minnesota is batting .253 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .322 team OBP and a .426 team slugging percentage.</p>
<p>San Diego is slashing .238/.312/.374 against right-handed pitching.</p>
<h2>The Bullpens </h2>
<p>The Padres bullpen owns a 3.88 ERA this season and a 1.21 WHIP.</p>
<p>The Twins pen owns a 3.88 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP.<br />
<section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px; color:#008000;">Get more details:</span> <a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1605726">Minnesota at San Diego 7/30/22 Betting Stats</a>
</li>
</ul>
<p></section></p>
<h2>MLB Betting Trends </h2>
<ul>
<li>Minnesota is 25-25 on the road this season and 37-35 against right-handed starters.</li>
<li>San Diego is 26-21 at home and 34-31 against right-handed starters.</li>
</ul>
<h2>Totals Report </h2>
<ul>
<li>The Over is 48-43 in Twins games this season.</li>
<li>The Under is 52-46 in Padres games.</li>
<li>The Under is 27-19 at Petco Park this season.</li>
</ul>

Twins at Padres Prediction 7/30/22

We give Musgrove the check-mark in the pitching match-up, but it's closer than first glance might indicate. From there, we give Minnesota the edge with the sticks while calling the bullpens about equal. But we wonder if Musgrove might feel some pressure Saturday night with the new contract, and we feel the Twins are good enough to bounce back after taking a beating Friday night. So we like the underdog price with Minnesota in this spot.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   

Free Pick: Take Minnesota +118
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