Milwaukee Brewers at Washington Nationals Odds - Free Prediction

The Green Man

Date: July 26, 7:05 pm

Location: Nationals Park

TV: MASN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Nationals -124 / Brewers +114

Total: 9

Two solid clubs will battle it out tonight in MLB betting action when 54-48 Milwaukee Brewers play the 59-39 Washington Nationals in the second game of a four-game set at Nationals Park in Washington, D.C. tonight. The first pitch tonight at Nationals Park is scheduled for 7:05 PM ET.


The Nationals take on the favorite role in this match listed in the -121 to -132 at the sportsbook that we follow. The total line is posted at a consensus 9 runs.


In Game 1 of this series yesterday, the Brewers crushed the Nationals 8-0. In the game, the Brewers lit up the Washington pitchers for eight runs on 11 hits while the Nationals were held scoreless on five hits.


This season the Brewers rank 7th in the Majors in runs scored and 12th in team ERA.


The Nationals rank 3rd in the Majors in runs scored and 9th in team ERA.

<h2>
Pitching Match Up 
</h2>

Milwaukee: Jimmy Nelson (8-5, 3.43 ERA) 
Washington: Gio Gonzalez (8-5, 2.83 ERA)


Jimmy Nelson gets the nod for the Brewers in this NL match up and he gave up four earned runs in five innings in his last start, which was a 4-2 loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Brewers had won his previous four starts where he went 25 innings and gave up seven earned runs. This is Nelson’s first start of the season against the Nats and in three career starts against them he has an ERA of 5.28. In nine road starts this season Nelson has an ERA of 4.96 and in 11 home starts has an ERA of 2.39. The Brew Crew are only 7-16 in his last 23 starts against a team with a winning record and 4-9 in his last 13 road starts against a team with a winning record.


Gio Gonzalez was also not sharp in his last outing where he gave up four earned runs in five innings in a 7-0 loss to the L.A. Angels. The Nationals have lost four of his last five starts and in the four losses he has given up nine earned runs and only received seven runs of support. In seven career starts against the Brewers Gonzalez is 2-3 with an ERA of 4.95. Washington is 0-5 in his last five home starts, but they have won six of his last eight starts against a team that has a winning record.


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<h2>
Betting Angles 
</h2>

In the last 15 games between these teams the Over record is 10-4-1.


In the last 8 games between these teams in Washington the Over record is 5-2-1.


The first game of this series was the first match up between these teams this season.


This season the Nationals are 26-20 at home and the Brewers are 26-24 on the road.

<h2>
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records 
</h2>

Milwaukee Brewers: 54-38 SU / O/U 50-48 / Run Line W/L 58-44 
Washington Nationals: 59-39 SU / O/U 48-46 / Run Line W/L 49-49

<h2>
Milwaukee at Washington Key Betting Trends 
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
MIL is 2-7 in their last 9 overall
</li>
<li>
MIL is 2-6 in their last 8 road games
</li>
<li>
MIL has an Under record of 9-1 in their last 10 games
</li>
<li>
WASH is 8-3 in their last 11 overall
</li>
<li>
WASH is 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning record
</li>
<li>
WASH has an Under record of 6-1 in their last 7 games.
</li>
</ul>
<h3>
Key Player Injuries 
</h3>

BREWERS 
[P] 06/28/2017 - Chase Anderson 10-day DL (06/28) ( Ribs ) 
[C] 07/18/2017 - Stephen Vogt 10-day DL (07/18) ( Knee )


NATIONALS 
[LF] 06/06/2017 - Jayson Werth 60-day DL (06/04) ( Foot ) 
[CF] 06/02/2017 - Adam Eaton 60-day DL (04/29) ( ACL ) 
[P] 06/19/2017 - Shawn Kelley 10-day DL (06/17) ( Trapezius ) 
[SS] 06/29/2017 - Trea Turner 10-day DL (06/30) ( Wrist ) 
[P] 07/17/2017 - Joe Ross 60-day DL (07/14) ( Tricep ) 
[P] 07/17/2017 - Koda Glover 60-day DL (06/11) ( Back ) 
[CF] 07/07/2017 - Michael Taylor 10-day DL (07/07) ( Oblique ) 
[P] 07/23/2017 - Stephen Strasburg left last game, "?" for next scheduled start ( Forearm ) 
[LF] 07/23/2017 - Ryan Raburn out indefinitely ( Personal ) 
[LF] 07/23/2017 - Chris Heisey 10-day DL (07/23) ( Groin )

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals Prediction

After a six-game losing streak the Brewers have rebounded and won two of their last three games. They are still in first place in the NL Central, but they are only ½ game up on the defending champion Chicago Cubs. Milwaukee is led by their lineup and they have scored 20 runs in their last three games after struggling at the plate in their six-game skid. The Nationals had won two in a row where they only gave up five runs before getting shut out 8-0 in the first game of this series. They have the NL East pretty well in hand with a 11.5 game lead over the 2nd place Atlanta Braves. While the Nats have a potent offense they have only scored 19 runs in their last five games. Nelson has top-notch stuff, but he did not have a good last outing and has not been good on the road this season. However, I think he will have a good start tonight against a Washington lineup that has not been lighting up the scoreboard lately. Gonzalez will also have a bounce-back outing, but Nelson will get the better of him and the Brewers will win this game and go for the series sweep tomorrow.

Free Pick: Take the Brewers +109

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