<p>National League division leaders clash when the Brewers battle the Mets for a three-game series in New York beginning Monday night. Milwaukee owns the largest divisional lead in Baseball, while New York, even playing mediocre ball recently, maintains its advantage in the NL East.</p>
<p>All-Star Brandon Woodruff hits the hill for the visitors here against rookie righty Tylor Megill for the home team. How are we playing this game with our <a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/free-mlb-picks&quot; title="Expert MLB Picks">free MLB moneyline pick</a>? </p>
<h2>Brewers-Mets MLB Betting Odds</h2>
<p><a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/odds&quot; title="MLB Betting Line Comparison">Monday's baseball betting lines</a> opened Milwaukee and Woodruff at upwards of -180 over New York and Megill, with an over/under of 7.5 runs. Early betting action then deflated the Brewers 50 cents! As of mid-Monday morning, the best price we could find on Milwaukee was the -130 offered at <a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/sportsbooks/5dimes&quot; title="5Dimes for Dimeline Betting">5Dimes</a> while the Mets were getting +120 at <a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/sportsbooks/betonline&quot; title="High Limit Baseball Betting at BetOnline">BetOnline</a>.</p>
<h2>Brewers-Mets MLB Betting Preview</h2>
<p>Milwaukee just took three of four games at Pittsburgh over the weekend, missing out on the sweep by losing Sunday's series finale 2-0. That loss also snapped an 11-game winning streak for the Brewers.
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<p>Going back a bit further, Milwaukee is 4-0 over its last four series and 13-2 over its previous 15 games.</p>
<p>At 51-34 overall, the Brewers lead the NL Central by seven games over second-place Cincinnati, and they're only three games behind San Francisco in the battle for the best record in the National League. Milwaukee is also on a pace to win 104 games, although that's not gonna happen while playing against its season wins over/under of 82.5.</p>
<p>New York, meanwhile, just took two of three games from Yankees in the Bronx over the weekend, missing out on the sweep by losing the nightcap of Sunday's double-header 4-2. Just before that, the Mets dropped two of three in Atlanta, and just before that, they split four games with Philadelphia. Going back a bit further, New York is only 8-12 over its last 20 games.</p>
<p>Nonetheless, the Mets lead the mediocre NL East by 3.5 games over the second-place Braves.</p>
<p>New York is also on a pace to win 87 games playing against its wins O/U of 90.5.</p>
<p>These two teams last met back in 2019, when the Brewers took five of six games from the Mets.</p>
<h2>Monday's Pitching Match-Up</h2>
<p><a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/404151&quot; title="Tylor Megill Pitching Logs">Megill</a> is 0/2 on quality starts since getting called up from the Minors a couple of weeks ago. First, in his ML debut, he held Atlanta to two runs and three hits through 4 1/3 innings of a 7-3 New York victory. Then, last Tuesday, he gave up three runs and five hits through five innings of a 4-3 Mets win over Atlanta. So through 9 1/3 innings of ML ball, Megill has allowed five runs and eight hits, including two home runs, with four walks and 12 strikeouts.</p>
<p>New York is 2-0 with Megill, and he can claim some credit for that.</p>
<p>This will be Megill's first-ever start against Milwaukee, which could give him an edge, at least for the first couple of times through the lineup.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/125810&quot; title="Brandon Woodruff Pitching Stats">Woodruff</a> is an impressive 13/16 on quality starts this year, only twice allowing more than two runs. Last Tuesday, he held the Cubs to one run and four hits through six innings of a 2-1 Brewers win. And just before that, he held Arizona to one run and three hits through seven frames of a 3-2 Milwaukee victory.</p>
<p>The Brewers are 12-4 with Woodruff this season, and they could even be a couple of games better than that.</p>
<p>Over two career starts against the Mets, both in 2019, Woodruff allowed just two runs and 12 hits through 10 innings. Milwaukee won both those games.</p>
<h2>Splits With the Sticks </h2>
<p>Milwaukee is batting .221 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .309 team OBP and a .377 team slugging percentage.
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<p>New York is slashing .229/.308/.366 against RH pitching this season.
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<p>Numbers like those cause us to rank both these lineups among the bottom half-dozen or so in Baseball in this split.
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<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1359671">MIL/NYM 7/5/21 Game Matchup Stats</a></span>
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<h2>The Bullpens </h2>
<p>The Brewers bullpen owns a 3.84 ERA this season, along with a 1.31 WHIP and a 2.47 K/BB ratio.</p>
<p>The Mets pen owns a 3.90 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and a 2.64 K/BB ratio.</p>
<h2>MLB Betting Trends</h2>
<ul>
<li>The Brewers are 25-16 on the road this season.</li>
<li>The Mets are 24-11 at home this season.</li>
<li>The Brewers are 41-26 against right-handed starters this season.</li>
<li>The Mets are 34-23 against RH starters this season.</li>
<li>The Mets are 4-1 as home dogs this season.</li>
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<h2>Totals Report</h2>
<p>Overs are 42-39 in Brewers games this season.</p>
<p>Unders are 39-34 in Mets games this season.</p>
<p>Unders are 23-9 in games played at Citi Field this season.</p>
<p>Unders are a combined 12-6 with Megill and Woodruff this season.</p>