Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Lines - Free Prediction
Betting Odds
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It’s the 51-42 Miami Marlins vs. the 43-52 Philadelphia Phillies in the third game of a four game set in Philadelphia. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 PM ET at Citizen Bank Park on July 20, 2016.
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In Game 2 of this four game series yesterday the Marlins beat the Phillies 2-1 scoring two runs on seven hits while the Phillies scored one run on five hits.
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The Marlins have won three in a row and seven of their last eight games and they are in 2nd place in the NL East 4.5 games back of the Washington Nationals. Miami ranks a solid 10th in the Majors in team ERA, but only ranks 22nd in runs scored.
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The Phillies have dropped three consecutive games and they reside in 4th place in the NL East 13.5 games back of the Mets. Philadelphia ranks a decent 15th in team ERA, but their issue has been at the plate this season where they only rank 29th in runs scored.
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<h2>
Pitching Match Up<br />
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Miami: Wei-Yin Chen (5-3, 4.90 ERA)<br />
Philadelphia: Jeremy Hellickson (6-7, 4.03 ERA)
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<p>
Wei-Yin Chen goes for the Marlins tonight and in his last outing he gave up four earned runs in six innings in a 7-6 win over the St. Louis Cardinals. The Marlins have won five of his last six starts including his last two. Chen is 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA in three career starts against the Phillies. The Marlins are 2-5 in Chen’s last 7 starts facing teams from the NL East.
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Jeremy Hellickson gets the nod for the Phillies and in his last outing he gave up four earned runs in six innings in a 5-3 loss to the New York Mets. The Phillies had won his previous three starts. Hellickson is 1-1 with a 3.97 ERA in six career starts against Miami. The Phillies are 2-5 in Hellickson’s last 7 home starts.
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<h2>
Betting Angles<br />
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The Phillies are 37-18 in their last 55 home games against the Marlins.
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In the last 4 games between these teams the Under record is 4-0.
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This season the Phillies are 22-27 at home and the Marlins are 27-23 on the road.
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<h2>
STRAIGHT UP / OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS<br />
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Miami Marlins: 51-42 SU / O/U 48-44 / Run Line W/L 48-45<br />
Philadelphia Phillies: 43-52 SU / O/U 44-49 / Run Line W/L 47-48
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<h2>
Miami at Philadelphia Key Betting Trends<br />
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MIA is 7-1 in their last 8 overall.
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MIA is 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
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MIA has an Under record of 7-3 in their last 10 games.
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PHIL is 1-4 in their last 5 home games.
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PHIL is 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
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PHIL has an Under record of 7-0 in their last 7 home games.
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<h2>
Key Player Injuries<br />
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<b>MARLINS</b><br />
[P] 04/04/2016 - Raudel Lazo 15-day DL (3/25) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 04/03/2016 - Carter Capps 60-day DL; out for season ( Arm )<br />
[P] 05/15/2016 - Kendry Flores 15-day DL (5/15) ( Shoulder )<br />
[2B] 04/29/2016 - Dee Gordon expected to miss 80 games ( Suspension )<br />
[P] 07/01/2016 - Bryan Morris 60-day DL (5/25) ( Back )<br />
[1B] 07/06/2016 - Justin Bour 15-day DL (7/3) ( Ankle )
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<b>PHILLIES </b><br />
[P] 03/31/2016 - Matt Harrison 60-day DL (4/2) ( Back )<br />
[LF] 03/31/2016 - Aaron Altherr 60-day DL (4/2) ( Wrist )<br />
[P] 05/01/2016 - Dalier Hinojosa 15-day DL (4/29) ( Hand )<br />
[P] 04/24/2016 - Charlie Morton 60-day DL (4/24); out for season ( Hamstring )
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Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
The Marlins’ starter Wei-Yin Chen pitched well in his last start against the Phillies back in May, but overall his numbers are mediocre against Philadelphia’s roster. Jeremy Hellickson gets the start for the home side and he has great numbers against the Miami line up holding them to a combined .221 batting average. His team has won five of his six career starts against the Marlins and I’m going to bet on that hitting six after tonight.