Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds Odds - Free Pick
Betting Odds
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The 42-51 Miami Marlins head to Cincinnati to take on the 40-55 Reds in the first game of a three-game set at Great American Ball Park tonight. The first pitch of the opener in Cincinnati is scheduled for 7:10 PM ET.
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The opening game of a weekend series in Cincinnati has the Reds in the favorite role with their backers being asked to lay a moneyline of -110. The total for this game is on the board at10 runs.
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In their last game the Marlins lost to the Philadelphia Phillies 10-3. In the game the Marlins scored three runs on seven hits and the Phillies scored 10 runs on 20 hits.
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In their last game the Reds lost to the Arizona Diamondbacks 12-2. In the game the Reds scored two runs on eight hits and the Diamondbacks scored 12 runs on nine hits.
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This season the Marlins rank tied for 19th in the Majors in runs scored and 24th in team ERA.
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The Reds rank 14th in the Majors in runs scored and 30th in team ERA.
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<h2>
Pitching Match Up<br />
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Miami: Jose Urena (7-4, 3.93 ERA)<br />
Cincinnati: Homer Bailey (2-3, 10.13 ERA)
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Jose Urena goes for the Marlins tonight and he was lit up for five earned runs in only three innings in his last start, which was a 7-1 loss to the L.A. Dodgers. The Marlins had won his previous two starts where he gave up five earned runs in 10 innings. Urena’s lone start against the Reds was last season at Cincinnati where he gave up five earned runs in six innings in a 6-3 Miami loss. After going 5-0 in seven starts he is 1-2 in his last four starts. Overall, the Marlins have won eight of Urena’s last 11 starts and they have won five of his last six road starts.
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Homer Bailey gets the starting nod for the Reds and he was shelled in his last outing giving up eight earned runs in only four innings in a 14-4 loss to the Washington Nationals. The Reds had won his previous two starts where he only gave up two earned runs in 12 innings. Bailey has only started five games this season after coming off the DL and having Tommy John surgery in 2015. In three of his five starts this season he has given up at least six earned runs and two of those starts were at home. The Reds have lost five of Bailey’s last seven starts overall and they have lost six of his last eight home starts.
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<h2>
Betting Angles<br />
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The Reds are 25-10 in their last 35 home games against the Marlins.
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In the last 5 games between these teams the Over record is 4-1.
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This season the Reds are 24-26 at home and the Marlins are 20-25 on the road.
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Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records<br />
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Miami Marlins: 42-51 SU / O/U 50-37 / Run Line W/L 47-46<br />
Cincinnati Reds: 40-55 SU / O/U 51-39 / Run Line W/L 49-46
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<h2>
Miami at Cincinnati Key Betting Trends<br />
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MIA is 5-1 in their last 6 road games
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MIA is 1-5 in their last 6 overall
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MIA has an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter
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CINCY is 1-6 in their last 7 overall
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CINCY is 1-7 in their last 8 home games
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CINCY has an Under record of 12-4-1 in their last 17 games
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<h3>
Key Player Injuries<br />
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<b>MARLINS</b><br />
[P] 07/07/2017 - Edinson Volquez 10-day DL (07/06) ( Knee )<br />
[3B] 07/18/2017 - Martin Prado 10-day DL (07/18) ( Knee )<br />
[P] 06/23/2017 - Brad Ziegler 10-day DL (06/21) ( Back )<br />
[P] 05/06/2017 - Wei-Yin Chen 10-day DL (05/02) ( Arm )
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<b>REDS</b><br />
[P] 07/18/2017 - Scott Feldman 10-day DL (07/18) ( Knee )<br />
[P] 06/18/2017 - Anthony DeSclafani 60-day DL (04/02) ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 06/29/2017 - Brandon Finnegan 10-day DL (06/28) ( Tricep )<br />
[P] 06/26/2017 - Bronson Arroyo 60-day DL (06/19) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 04/03/2017 - Nefi Ogando 60-day DL (03/30) ( Hand )<br />
[P] 04/02/2017 - Nick Travieso 60-day DL (04/02) ( Shoulder )
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Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction
The Marlins have lost two in a row and five of their last six games and they are in 4th place in the NL East 14.5 games out of first place. They were outscored 15-5 in losing their last two games to the Phillies, who have the worst record in the Majors. The Reds are reeling losers of six of their last seven games and they are in the basement of the NL Central 10.5 games back of the Milwaukee Brewers. They have the worst team ERA in baseball and in their last seven games they have given up at least 10 runs four times. Urena has been one of the bright spots of the Miami staff this season, but was rocked in his last outing. However, he will have a good start tonight facing a struggling Reds lineup that has only scored nine runs in their last four games. Bailey has been shelled in three of his five starts this season and he will not have a good outing in this game. Miami will chase him out early and with Urena giving them a good start they will win the first game of this NL series.