Los Angeles Dodgers at Seattle Mariners Free MLB Pick
Betting Odds
Welcome to an exciting matchup at T-Mobile Park, where the Los Angeles Dodgers are aiming to secure a division title while the Seattle Mariners are in hot pursuit of a playoff berth. This three-game series opener in Seattle promises a showdown between two promising young right-handers, with George Kirby taking the mound for the Mariners and Bobby Miller representing the Blue Crew. Let's dive into this game with our free baseball betting analysis.
MLB Betting Odds
Friday's baseball betting market presents this matchup as a near-even affair, with odds hovering around the pick 'em mark and an over/under set at 7.5 runs. These odds have remained stable in the early betting action.
Dodgers-Mariners Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers recently faced a setback, dropping two out of three games at home to the San Diego Padres and losing the series rubber match 6-1 on Wednesday. The Dodgers had a day off on Thursday. Their recent performance includes taking two of three games against the Washington Nationals but also losing two of three to the Miami Marlins. Over the last four series, they hold a 1-3 record, and in their last 13 games, they stand at 5-8.
Nevertheless, the Dodgers maintain a strong overall record of 88-57, making them a surefire winner in the NL West and a likely contender for the No. 2 seed in the upcoming NL playoffs.
The Seattle Mariners, on the other hand, have been more inconsistent recently. They recently secured a series win against the Los Angeles Angels, triumphing 3-2 in the rubber match on Wednesday. Similar to the Dodgers, the Mariners enjoyed a day off on Thursday. However, they faced losses against the Tampa Bay Rays and Cincinnati Reds, both of which ended in series defeats. Like the Dodgers, they also hold a 1-3 record in their last four series and a 5-8 record in their last 13 games.
The Mariners currently stand at 81-65, trailing the first-place Houston Astros by a mere game and a half in the AL West. They also lead the Toronto Blue Jays by 1.5 games in the battle for the final American League wild-card spot.
Friday's Pitching Match-Up
George Kirby is in a challenging phase, as he hasn't recorded a quality start in his last four outings. In his most recent appearance, he allowed four runs and five hits over 6 1/3 innings in a 7-4 loss to the Tampa Bay Rays. Over his last four starts, Kirby has conceded 15 runs (14 earned) and 27 hits across 21 innings. Despite maintaining a 14-14 record this season, Kirby has experienced a recent slump, losing all three of his last three starts. Notably, this will be his first career start against the Dodgers.
Bobby Miller hasn't fared much better, with only one quality start in his last four outings. Last Saturday, he gave up five runs and six hits in seven innings during a 7-6 loss to the Washington Nationals. Over his last four starts, he has allowed 14 earned runs and 22 hits over 26 1/3 innings. However, the Dodgers have posted a 12-6 record with Miller on the mound this season, although he has gone 2-2 in his last four starts. Like Kirby, this will also be Miller's first career start against the Mariners.
Splits With the Sticks
The Dodgers boast an impressive .261 batting average against right-handed pitching this season, accompanied by a .344 team on-base percentage and a formidable .458 team slugging percentage. These statistics rank them as the best in baseball in this category.
Conversely, the Mariners are batting .238 with a .321 on-base percentage and a .420 slugging percentage against right-handed pitching.
The Bullpens
In the bullpen comparison, the Mariners hold a 3.54 ERA this season, with a 1.28 WHIP and a 2.93 K/BB ratio. On the other hand, the Dodgers' bullpen maintains a 3.67 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a 2.87 K/BB ratio.
MLB Betting Trends
The Dodgers have performed solidly on the road, with a 40-31 record this season, and they boast a strong 65-35 record against right-handed starters. Seattle has excelled at home, securing 41 wins out of 71 games, and holds a respectable 61-50 record against right-handed starters.
Totals Report
This season, the overs have dominated in Dodgers games, with 85 of 138 games leaning towards the over. In contrast, the Mariners have seen more unders, with 74 of 142 games trending towards the under. At T-Mobile Park, the unders have been favored, with 36 of 68 games favoring the under.
Free MLB Pick
In this matchup, we consider the pitching situation to be relatively even, as both pitchers have experienced recent struggles. The bullpen comparison also appears balanced. However, the Dodgers hold a substantial advantage with their potent lineup, making them a solid bet. Moreover, getting the Dodgers at such favorable odds is a rare opportunity. Therefore, we recommend betting on the Los Angeles Dodgers for Friday night's game.