Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Odds & Predictions
Date:
June 21, 10:10 pm
Location:
Petco Park
TV:
MLBTV
Betting Odds
Moneyline:
LAD +115/SD -125
Total:
7
<p>The Dodgers and Padres, both still chasing upstart San Francisco in the NL West, continue their seasonal rivalry series with a three-game series in San Diego starting Monday night. Yu Darvish gets the start here for the home team against lefty Julio Urias for the visitors. Here's how we home-worked this game, along with our <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/free-mlb-picks" title="Expert MLB Picks">free baseball betting pick</a>.
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<h2>MLB Betting Odds </h2>
<p>Monday's <a class="advblue"href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/odds" title="MLB Odds From Multiple Sportsbooks">baseball betting odds</a> opened San Diego at around -130 for Monday's game with an over/under of seven runs. Early betting action then dipped the Padres a nickel to -125.</p>
<h2>Dodgers-Padres MLB Betting Preview </h2>
<p>Los Angeles just swept three games at hapless Arizona over the weekend, winning Sunday's series finale 9-8. Just before that, the Dodgers took two out of three games from Philadelphia, and just before that, they took two of three from Texas. Going back a bit further, Los Angeles is 4-0 over its last four series and 10-2 over its previous 12 games.</p>
<p>San Diego, meanwhile, just swept four games at home from Cincinnati over the weekend, winning Sunday's series finale 3-2. But just before that, the Padres got swept three games by the Rockies in Denver. Going back a bit further, San Diego is 1-4-1 over its last six series and 8-13 over its previous 21 games.</p>
<p>At 44-27 and 42-32, respectively, the Dodgers and Padres trail first-place San Francisco by 1.5 and five games in the NL West race. But LA and San Diego also own the top two spots in the National League wild-card race.</p>
<p>The Dodgers are also playing slightly behind schedule against their season wins over/under of 102.5, which was the highest in Baseball.</p>
<p>The Padres, meanwhile, are also playing slightly behind schedule against their season wins O/U of 94.5.</p>
<p>On the injury front, Los Angeles is down three starters, with SS Corey Seager, 1B Max Muncy and OF Cody Bellinger all out with various ailments. But while San Diego SS Fernando Tatis missed Sunday's game with a sore shoulder, he'll probably play Monday night.</p>
<p>The Padres lead the season series with the Dodgers four games to three.</p>
<h2>Monday's Pitching Match-Up </h2>
<p><a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/40264" title="Yu Darvish Pitching Logs">Darvish</a> is 8/13 on quality starts this season but only one for his last four. Last Tuesday, he gave up four runs and six hits through five innings of an 8-4 San Diego loss to Colorado. And over his last four starts, he's allowed 13 runs – 12 earned – and 17 hits, including four home runs, through 22 1/3 innings.</p>
<p>The Padres are 11-3 with Darvish this season but 0-2 his last two times out.</p>
<p>In two starts this season against the Dodgers, Darvish allowed just two runs and five hits through 14 innings, with 18 strikeouts. San Diego only managed to split those two games.</p>
<p>By our strict standards, <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/79612" title="Julio Urias Pitching Logs">Urias</a> is 6/13 on quality starts this year and 0 for his last four. Last Tuesday, he gave up three runs – two earned – and six hits through 5 2/3 innings of a 5-3 Los Angeles victory over Philadelphia. And over his last four starts, he's allowed 12 ER and 27 hits, including four homers, through 21 2/3 innings.</p>
<p>The Dodgers are 11-3 with Urias this season, 3-0 over his last three starts.</p>
<p>In his most recent start against the Padres, in August of last season, Urias held them to two runs through 6 1/3 innings of an 11-2 LA win.</p>
<h2>Splits With the Sticks</h2>
<p>Los Angeles is batting .254 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .354 team OBP, which ranks No. 1 in the Majors, and a .424 team slugging percentage. Numbers like those lead us to rank this lineup among the top half-dozen in Baseball in this split.</p>
<p>San Diego is slashing .231/.311/.366 against left-handed pitching this season.</p>
<h2>The Bullpens</h2>
<p>The Dodgers bullpen owns a 3.86 ERA this season, along with a 1.29 WHIP and a 2.26 K/BB ratio.</p>
<p>The Padres pen owns a 2.77 ERA, which ranks No. 2 in the Bigs, along with a 1.12 WHIP, which also ranks No. 2, and a 3.08 K/BB ratio, which ranks No. 3. Numbers like those lead us to rank this unit as maybe the best bullpen in Baseball at the moment.</p>
<h2>MLB Betting Trends </h2>
<ul>
<li>The Dodgers are 21-15 on the road this season.</li>
<li>The Padres are 25-14 at home this season.</li>
<li>The Dodgers are 30-19 against right-handed starters this season.</li>
<li>The Padres are 12-5 against left-handed starters this season.</li>
</ul>
<h2>Totals Report </h2>
<p>Overs are 37-32 in Dodgers games this season.</p>
<p>Overs are 38-35 in Padres games this season.</p>
<p>Overs are a combined 19-8 with Darvish and Urias this season.</p>
<p>Unders are 22-17 in games played at Petco Park this season.</p>
<p>Overs are 4-3 in Dodgers-Padres games this season.</p>
Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction 6/21/21
We give Darvish a slight edge in the pitching match-up. From there, we'd give Los Angeles the edge in the splits with the sticks, but they're down three regulars. And we give San Diego the edge in the bullpen comparison. So we like the Padres for our free baseball betting pick for Monday.
Free Pick:
Take San Diego -125
