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Montas owns the edge in the pitching match-up, but we give Houston the check-marks in the splits with the sticks and in the bullpen comparison. Plus, the Astros are 6-3 over their last nine games while Oakland is 1-4 over its last five games, and trends like those mean a lot to us when handicapping baseball games. So we're betting Houston here.
We give Rasmussen the edge in the pitching match-up, and Tampa Bay owns the edge in the bullpen comparison. And while the Rays aren't exactly hammering the ball as of late, our guess is those bats will come alive sometime soon. So we're betting Tampa Monday night.
We give Wheeler the edge in the pitching match-up, but New York owns edges in the splits with the sticks and in the bullpen comparison. Plus, the Mets are headed in a good direction as of late. Philadelphia, not so much. Also, these two teams own starkly disparate records against right-handed starters. So we're betting New York Sunday night, the home team, at a very reasonable price.
We give Lorenzen the edge in the pitching match-up, based in part on Kikuchi's struggles against the Angels last year while calling the splits with the sticks and the bullpen comparisons about equal. So the line on this game looks about right. However, we like betting teams on rolls against teams who might be struggling a bit, and Toronto is heading in a good direction lately while Los Angeles, not so much. Plus, the Jays are catching an underdog price. We're betting Toronto Saturday night.
We give Woodruff the edge in the pitching match-up and Milwaukee perhaps a slight edge in the bullpen comparison while calling the splits with the sticks about even. But to us, that doesn't add up to -145. Also, these two teams are very close overall and will probably come darn close to splitting their season series. Betting baseball is often about find value on the daily dime line, and we like the value here with St. Louis at the home dog price.
In Thursday's matchup between Boston and Chicago, Dallas Keuchel will look for a repeat of his last outing vs the Red Sox. In that outing, he picked up the win, going 6 innings while allowing just 2 runs. I expect another good outing from the lefty, as Boston struggles to generate power vs left-handed pitching. So far, the team has hit just 5 home runs vs southpaws. Look for Chicago to pick up the home win.
We give Giolito a slight edge in the pitching match-up but Boston is hot with the sticks and owns the better bullpen. Plus, the Red Sox are headed in a good direction as of late while Chicago just seems to be treading water. We're betting Boston at that very tempting underdog price Wednesday night.
Burnes gets the check-mark in the pitching match-up while we call the splits with the sticks and the bullpen comparisons about even. However, Burnes certainly seems to pitch in bad luck much of the time, and while San Diego is 16-11 against right-handed starters, Milwaukee is only 6-8 against lefties. Plus, the Padres are catching a home-dog price. We like the betting value with San Diego here.
In Monday night's matchup between the Giants and Mets, I recommend taking New York on the moneyline. Not only are the Mets the hotter team, but they also have the top batting average vs right-handed pitching. Go ahead and grab New York at +113 on the moneyline.
In today's matchup between the Angels and Athletics, I expect Los Angeles to pick up the win and cover the runline. Even though A's starter Cole Irvin has been pitching well of late, he has done so against some struggling offensive units. In today's matchup, he will be facing one of the league's best hitting lineups vs left-handed pitching. I like the Angels -1.5.
In this matchup between Chicago and Arizona, I recommend taking the Diamondbacks on the moneyline. Zac Gallen has yet to give up more than 2 runs in any of his 6 starts. In addition, he will be facing a Chicago offense that struggles against right-handed pitching, ranking just 25th in home runs, and 20th in batting average.
We're calling this pitching match-up a wash, and while Philadelphia might own an edge in the splits with the sticks, San Diego owns an edge in the bullpen comparison. Also, the Phillies might be without Harper again. So we're playing the Padres Wednesday night at the underdog price.
Eovaldi may own nicer numbers than Urquidy, but we're calling this pitching match-up a wash. From there, we give Houston edges in the splits with the sticks and in the bullpen comparison. Plus, despite Monday's result, the Astros are just playing the better ball as of late. So we like Houston to even this series up Tuesday night.
Mikolas gets the check-mark in the pitching match-up, New York owns an edge with the sticks and we’ll call the bullpen comparison about even. From there we’ve been expecting the Mets to level-off a bit following their great start to this season while we also expect St. Louis to improve following a somewhat slow start. So we’re betting the Cardinals here, hopefully at an underdog price.
We give Rodon the check-mark in the pitching match-up, but we give St. Louis a slight edge in the bullpen comparison while calling the splits with the sticks a wash. So our belief is the line on this game is much too high. Betting baseball is often about finding value on the dime line, and we like the value here with the Cardinals getting the underdog price
We give Buehler the check-mark in the pitching match-up, and while Philadelphia might own an edge with the sticks, Los Angeles owns the edge in the bullpen comparison. Also, while the Dodgers are on a 1-4 skid, it shouldn't last for long, and LA is 9-3 against LH starters. We don't like giving prices like -180 - we usually opt for playing the run line - but we'll give it with Los Angeles Saturday night.
Even though Hyun Jin Ryu has an extremely high ERA, he has only made 2 starts, and he is a good enough pitcher to get back on track. A matchup against the Blue Jays could be a good spot to start, as they are the 22nd ranked scoring team in the league. As for Tampa Bay, they have not been swinging the bats well of late, averaging just 4 hits per game in their last 3 contests, worst in the league. I recommend the under at 8.5 runs.
We give Cole the edge in the pitching match-up, and New York gets our handicapping check-mark with the sticks. Plus, the Yankees are just hot. So we like New York here. And in knowing the visitors will bat nine times, we'll play the Yanks against the run line at a price of around +100.
I worry that the Twins have the better pitching matchup to start the game, but I think the Astros have the better overall pitching team and will be ready to best the Twins for the second straight game. I’m not picturing another shutout in this game, but it’s certainly a possibility with what the Astros have done for much of the past two weeks.
I like Houston’s bullpen to take control here. Give me the Astros.
Most signs point toward Los Angeles here, with Ohtani and some hot Angels sticks. But we have a feeling they might suffer a letdown Wednesday night, following that 12-0 romp Tuesday. Tampa Bay, meanwhile, is a scrappy outfit, with great pitching, and probably embarrassed by its performance over the first two games of this series. And the Rays surely don’t want to get swept. So we’re going with Tampa here at the underdog price.