Cincinnati Reds at San Francisco Giants Picks & Predictions
Betting Odds
National League wild-card contenders meet when the Giants and Reds continue a three-game series at Oracle Park Tuesday night. Alex Cobb, struggling a bit as of late, hits the hill for San Francisco here against rookie lefty Brandon Williamson for Cincinnati.
Which way are we going with our free baseball betting pick?
MLB Betting Odds
Tuesday’s baseball betting market opened San Francisco and Cobb at around -155 over Cincinnati and Williamson, with an over/under of 8.5 runs. Early betting action then dipped the Giants to -150.
Reds-Giants Betting Preview
San Francisco took the opener of this series Monday night 4-1. The Giants took the lead for good with a run in the bottom of the first inning, added two more in the third and eased home from there, with help from a very quality outing from rookie starter Kyle Harrison.
San Francisco won Monday as a -130 favorite on the dime line and the game played under a total of 7.5.
With Monday’s win the Giants are 3-2 over their last five games. At 68-63 overall San Francisco now trails Arizona by just a half-game in the battle for the final NL wild-card spot.
With Monday’s loss Cincinnati is 1-4 over its last five games. At 68-65 overall the Reds trail the Diamondbacks by a game and a half in that wild-card race.
The Giants lead the season series with Cincinnati three games to two.
Tuesday's Pitching Match-Up
Cobb, who was going very nicely through July, is 0 for his last four on quality starts. Last Wednesday he held Philadelphia to two runs and five hits through five innings of a game San Francisco eventually won 8-6 in extra innings. But over his three starts previous to that Cobb gave up 15 runs and 24 hits through 15 innings.
The Giants are 16-8 with Cobb this season but only 1-3 his last four times out.
Over his last three starts against Cincinnati, two last season and one back in July of this season, Cobb allowed 10 runs - seven earned - and 17 hits through 14 2/3 innings. San Francisco lost two of those three games.
Williamson is 5/18 on quality starts this year but two for his last four. Last Thursday he tossed six innings of six-hit, shutout ball against Arizona, although the Reds lost that game 3-2. And over his last four starts he’s held foes to six runs and 20 hits through 24 innings, with four walks against 27 strikeouts.
Cincinnati is 10-8 with Williamson this season and while it’s 0-3 his last three times out that’s not his fault.
In his only career start against the Giants, six weeks ago, Williamson allowed two runs and four hits through six frames of a 4-2 Reds defeat.
Splits With the Sticks
Cincinnati is batting .246 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .325 team OBP and a .413 team slugging percentage.
San Francisco is slashing .247/.305/.380 against left-handed pitching.
The Bullpens
The Giants bullpen owns a 3.81 ERA this season, along with a 1.24 WHIP and a 3.10 K/BB ratio.
The Reds pen owns a 3.98 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP and a 2.08 K/BB ratio.
MLB Betting Trends
Cincinnati is 37-31 on the road this season and 48-46 against right-handed starters.
San Francisco is 37-30 at home and 22-14 against left-handed starters.
Totals Report
- The unders are 67-66 in Reds games this season.
- The unders are 73-55 in Giants games.
- The unders are 40-25 at Oracle Park this season.
Reds vs. Giants Free Pick 8/29/23
Cobb gets our check-mark in the pitching match-up but it’s closer than first glance might indicate, with Williamson going well as of late. From there San Francisco owns an edge in the bullpen comparison, but Cincinnati owns an edge with the sticks. So when we add all that up it doesn’t seem to warrant so high a price. We like the betting value here, with the Reds catching +130.