Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds Analysis - Free Pick to Bet

The Green Man

Date: August 23, 7:10 pm

Location: Great American Ball Park

TV: FSOH

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Cubs -140 / Reds +130

Total: 10ov -110

On the MLB betting board for Wednesday August 23, 2017, we have the 67-57 Chicago Cubs versus the 53-73 Cincinnati Reds in the 2nd game of a three-game set at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. The first pitch at Great American Ball Park is scheduled to be thrown at 7:10 PM ET.

The odds maker at <a class="advblue" href="javascript:GoTo(Betonline)">BetOnline</a> has the Cubs as a -140 favorites on the money line with the total listed at 10 runs.

In the first game of this series, the Cubs beat the Reds 13-9. In the match, the Cubs were very productive scoring 13 runs on 13 hits while the Reds could only muster nine runs on their 13 hits.

This season the Cubs rank 10th in the Majors in runs scored and 8th in team ERA. 
The Reds rank 10th in the Majors in runs scored and 30th in team ERA. 
<h2>Pitching Match Up </h2>
Chicago: Mike Montgomery (3-6, 3.64 ERA) 
Cincinnati: Asher Wojciechowski (3-2, 5.36 ERA)
Mike Montgomery goes for the Cubs tonight and his last appearance was out of the bullpen going four innings and not giving up any earned runs in a 13-10 loss to the Reds. He last started a game on July 19th and since that time he has pitched out of the bullpen he has an ERA of 2.76. In five starts on the season Montgomery is 2-3 with an ERA of 5.13 and in 27 relief appearances and has an ERA of 2.57. In nine career appearances, including one start, against the Reds he is 0-1 with an ERA of 4.43. Overall, the Cubs are 3-7 in Montgomery’s last 10 starts and they have lost his last four starts against teams from the NL Central.

Asher Wojciechowski gets the call for the Reds and he also pitched in relief in his last appearance going two innings and giving up two earned runs in an11-8 win over the Atlanta Braves. His previous appearance before that was a start against the Cubs where he was lit up for seven earned runs in only three innings in a 15-5 Cincinnati loss. This season in eight home appearances, including four starts, Wojciechowski is 3-1 with an ERA of 3.41. In his last three appearances he has lasted 11 innings and given up five HR. This game will only be his2nd appearance of the season against the Cubs.

<h2>Betting Angles</h2>
The Cubs are 40-15 in their last 55 games against the Reds. 
The Cubs are 19-7 in their last 26 games against the Reds in Cincinnati.
In the last 52 games between these teams the Over record is 35-14-3.
In the last 61 games between these teams in Cincinnati the Over record is 40-18-3. 
This season the Reds are 29-32 at home and the Cubs are 33-29 on the road.
<h2>Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records</h2>
Chicago Cubs: 67-57 SU / O/U 59-59 / Run Line W/L 50-74 
Cincinnati Reds: 53-73 SU / O/U 69-52 / Run Line W/L 64-62
<h2>Chicago at Cincinnati Key Betting Trends</h2>
<ul>
<li>CHC is 4-0 in their last 4 overall</li>
<li>CHC is 15-4 in their last 19 road games</li>
<li>CHC has an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 games</li>
<li>CINCY is 6-13 in their last 19 home games</li>
<li>CINCY is 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record</li>
<li>CINCY has an Over record of 13-3 in their last 16 games</li>
</ul>
<h3>Key Player Injuries </h3>
CUBS 
[P] 08/18/2017 - Justin Grimm 10-day DL (08/18) ( Finger ) 
[P] 08/17/2017 - Jon Lester 10-day DL (08/17) ( Shoulder ) 
[2B] 08/22/2017 - Ben Zobrist "?" Wednesday vs. Cincinnati Reds ( Personal ) 
[SS] 08/04/2017 - Addison Russell 10-day DL (08/03) ( Foot ) 
[C] 08/11/2017 - Willson Contreras 10-day DL (08/10) ( Hamstring )
REDS 
[P] 08/13/2017 - Austin Brice 10-day DL (08/13) ( Side ) 
[P] 08/10/2017 - Lisalverto Bonilla 10-day DL (08/07) ( Elbow ) 
[P] 08/22/2017 - Homer Bailey "?" for next scheduled start ( Undisclosed ) 
[C] 08/15/2017 - Devin Mesoraco 10-day DL (08/13) ( Foot ) 
[P] 08/18/2017 - Scott Feldman 10-day DL (08/18) ( Knee ) 
[P] 04/03/2017 - Nefi Ogando 60-day DL (03/30) ( Hand ) 
[P] 04/02/2017 - Nick Travieso 60-day DL (04/02) ( Shoulder ) 
[P] 06/18/2017 - Anthony DeSclafani 60-day DL (04/02) ( Elbow ) 
[P] 06/26/2017 - Bronson Arroyo 60-day DL (06/19) ( Shoulder ) 
[P] 06/29/2017 - Brandon Finnegan 10-day DL (06/28) ( Tricep )

Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction for August 23rd/2017

The Cubs have won their last four games and in that span they have totaled 40 runs. They sit in first place in the NL Central 2.5 games up on the Milwaukee Brewers. The Reds had won three straight before losing their last two games. They rank dead last in the Majors in team ERA and in their last two games they have given up 21 runs. Cincy is in the basement of the NL Central and they have the 3rd fewest wins in the NL. Montgomery has not started since mid July and while he has been a solid reliever this season he has not been a good starter. Wojciechowski has pitched well at home this season, but he was shelled in his last start, which was facing the Cubs. Montgomery may not have the best outing, but Wojciechowski will really be hit hard again and for the 2nd straight game in this series the Cubs will win a slugfest.

Free Pick: Take the Cubs -140

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