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It’s the 78-61 Boston Red Sox versus the 77-62 Toronto Blue Jays in the first game of a three game set in Toronto, Ontario tonight. The first pitch at Rogers Centre is scheduled for 7:07 PM ET.
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In their last game the Red Sox beat the San Diego Padres 7-2. Boston only had two more hits than San Diego (9-7), but they had three HR. The Blue Jays lost to the New York Yankees 2-0 in their last game where Toronto was held scoreless on only five hits.
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The Red Sox have won two in a row and with Toronto’s loss in their last game Boston is now all-alone in first place in the AL East with a one game lead over the Blue Jays and a two game lead over the Orioles. The Red Sox are the highest scoring team in the Majors and they rank 12th in team ERA. In winning two in a row they have only given up a total of three runs.
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The Blue Jays were swept in their last series, which was a three-game set, and they have lost five of their last six games. While they fell out of first place with a loss in their last game they are atop the AL Wild Card standings. Toronto is a balanced squad that ranks 7th in in both runs scored and team ERA.
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<div class="heading">
Pitching Match Up
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<p>
<strong>Boston:</strong> Rick Porcello (19-3, 3.23 ERA)
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<strong>Toronto:</strong> Marco Estrada (8-7, 3.56 ERA)
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<p>
Rick Porcello goes for the Red Sox tonight and in his last outing he gave up two earned runs in seven innings in an 11-2 win over the Oakland A’s. Boston has won five of his last six starts including his last two. Porcello has three starts against the Blue Jays this season and has won twice even though he has an ERA of 5.21. In two starts at Toronto he is 1-0 with an ERA of 5.68. In Porcello’s career he has 15 appearances against the Blue Jays, 14 of them starts, and is 6-7 with an ERA of 5.27 and only 2-6 with a less than stellar ERA of 6.86 facing them in Toronto.
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Marco Estrada gets the nod for the Blue Jays and in his last outing he was tagged for five earned runs in five innings in a 7-5 loss to the Tampa Bay Rays. Toronto has lost two of his last three starts. This season Estrada is 2-1 with a 2.57 ERA in three starts against the Red Sox and in eight career appearances, including six starts, facing them he is 4-3 with an ERA of 3.73. The Blue Jays are 4-0 in Estrada’s last four starts against team with a winning record.
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<div class="heading">
Betting Angles
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The Blue Jays are 6-2 in their last 8 games against the Red Sox.
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In the last 11 games between these teams the Under record is 8-3.
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This season the Blue Jays are 40-28 at home and the Red Sox are 37-31 on the road.
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Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records
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<strong>Boston Red Sox:</strong> 78-61 SU / O/U 69-64 / Run Line W/L 70-69
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<strong>Toronto Blue Jays:</strong> 77-62 SU / O/U 57-76 / Run Line W/L 72-67
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<div class="heading">
Boston at Toronto Key Betting Trends
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<ul>
<li>
BOS is 5-2 in their last 7 overall.
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BOS is 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
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BOS has an Under record of 22-10 in their last 32 road games.
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TOR is 1-5 in their last 6 overall.
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TOR is 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
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TOR has an Over record of 5-1-1 in their last 7 home games.
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<div class="heading">
Key Player Injuries
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<strong>RED SOX</strong>
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<ul>
<li>
[2B] 06/17/2016 - Josh Rutledge 60-day DL (6/15) ( Knee )
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[P] 06/07/2016 - Carson Smith 60-day DL (5/15) ( Elbow )
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[C] 06/06/2016 - Blake Swihart 60-day DL (6/5) ( Ankle )
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[P] 09/07/2016 - Steven Wright out indefinitely ( Shoulder )
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[LF] 08/25/2016 - Andrew Benintendi 15-day DL (8/25) ( Knee )
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[3B] 05/03/2016 - Pablo Sandoval 60-day DL (4/11); out for season ( Shoulder )
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[P] 04/04/2016 - Brandon Workman 60-day DL (3/25) ( Elbow )
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<strong>BLUE JAYS</strong>
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<ul>
<li>
[C] 09/08/2016 - Russell Martin injured last game, "?" Friday vs. Boston Red Sox ( Knee )
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<li>
[P] 06/27/2016 - Gavin Floyd 60-day DL (6/26) ( Shoulder )
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</ul>