Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Odds Analysis - Free Pick

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Odds Analysis - Free Pick

The Green Man
Date: July 9, 1:00 pm
Location: Tropicana Field
TV: SUN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Red Sox -108 / Rays -102
Total: 7.5ov -105

<p>
The 50-38 Boston Red Sox will look to even the series 46-43 Tampa Bay Rays in the final game of a four-game set at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida today. The first pitch of the finale at Tropicana Field is scheduled for 1:10 PM ET.
</p>
<p>
The Bosox are listed as a -108 money line road favorite over the Rays with the total line on the board at 7.5.
</p>
<p>
In Game 3 of this series yesterday, the Rays beat the Red Sox 1-0. In the game, the Rays scored just one run on six hits and the Red Sox were held scoreless on a meagre three hits.
</p>
<p>
This season the Red Sox rank 9th in the Majors in runs scored and 4th in team ERA.
</p>
<p>
The Rays rank 11th in the Majors in runs scored and 11th in team ERA.
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<h2>
Pitching Match Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
Boston: David Price (4-2, 4.02 ERA)<br />
Tampa Bay: Chris Archer (7-5, 3.95 ERA)
</p>
<p>
David Price gets the nod for the Red Sox today and his last start was a great one not giving up any runs and striking out 11 hitters in six innings in an 11-4 win over the Texas Rangers. Boston has won four of his last five starts including his last two where he has given up three earned runs in 13 innings of work. Price has only made eight starts on the season after starting it on the DL and in his last five starts he has lowered his ERA a full point. This is Price’s first start against the Rays this season and in his career he is 3-3 against them and in four starts facing them in Tampa Bay he has an ERA of 2.86. In his last two starts facing them he has gone eight innings in each outing and did not give up any earned runs. The Red Sox are 10-2 in Price last 12 starts after a Quality Start in his previous start.
</p>
<p>
Chris Archer goes for the Rays today and he gave up three earned runs in six innings in his last start, which was a 6-5 win over the Chicago Cubs. Tampa Bay has won four of Archer’s last five starts, but the offense is to thank in his last three starts where he has given up 10 earned runs in 18 innings of work. Archer faced Boston in his 3rd start of the season where he went six innings and only gave up one earned run in a 10-5 Tampa Bay win. The Rays had lost his previous 11 starts against the Red Sox and in his career against them he is 2-11 with an ERA of 5.14 and at home he is 1-8 with an ERA of 4.58. The Rays have lost 23 of Archer’s last 29 starts against a team with a winning record.
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<h2>
Betting Angles<br />
</h2>
<p>
The Red Sox are 9-5 in their last 14 games against the Red Sox.
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<p>
In the last 8 games between these teams the Over record is 5-3.
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<p>
This season the Rays are 26-19 at home and the Red Sox are 25-24 on the road.
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<h2>
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records<br />
</h2>
<p>
Boston Red Sox: 50-38 SU / O/U 40-44 / Run Line W/L 46-42<br />
Tampa Bay Rays: 46-43 SU / O/U 52-36 / Run Line W/L 46-43
</p>
<h2>
Boston at Tampa Bay Key Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
BOS is 7-3 in their last 10 overall
</li>
<li>
BOS is 6-3 in their last 9 road games
</li>
<li>
BOS has an Over record of 7-4 in their last 11 road games
</li>
<li>
TB is 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record
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<li>
TB is 5-3 in their last 8 home games
</li>
<li>
TB has an Over record of 12-2 in their last 14 home games
</li>
</ul>
<h3>
Key Player Injuries<br />
</h3>
<p>
RED SOX<br />
[SS] 05/28/2017 - Marco Hernandez 60-day DL (05/04) ( Shoulder )<br />
[LF] 05/28/2017 - Brock Holt 60-day DL (04/21) ( Vertigo )<br />
[P] 05/28/2017 - Carson Smith 60-day DL (04/01) ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 05/28/2017 - Tyler Thornburg 60-day DL (04/01) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 06/02/2017 - Eduardo Rodriguez 10-day DL (06/02) ( Knee )<br />
[P] 06/02/2017 - Robbie Ross Jr. 10-day DL (05/19) ( Elbow )<br />
[3B] 06/20/2017 - Pablo Sandoval 10-day DL (06/20) ( Ear )<br />
[P] 06/16/2017 - Roenis Elias 60-day DL (04/01) ( Oblique )<br />
[P] 06/15/2017 - Brian Johnson 10-day DL (06/15) ( Shoulder )<br />
[2B] 06/24/2017 - Josh Rutledge 7-day DL (06/24) ( Concussion )<br />
[P] 07/05/2017 - David Price "?" for next scheduled start ( Finger )<br />
[P] 05/28/2017 - Steven Wright 60-day DL (04/30) ( Knee )
</p>
<p>
RAYS<br />
[P] 06/26/2017 - Diego Moreno 60-day DL (05/22) ( Shoulder )<br />
[LF] 06/23/2017 - Colby Rasmus 10-day DL (06/19) ( Hip )<br />
[SS] 07/01/2017 - Daniel Robertson 10-day DL (06/26) ( Neck )<br />
[2B] 07/07/2017 - Tim Beckham 10-day DL (07/06) ( Ankle )<br />
[P] 06/13/2017 - Matt Andriese 60-day DL (06/11) ( Hip )<br />
[CF] 06/09/2017 - Kevin Kiermaier 60-day DL (06/09) ( Hip )<br />
[LF] 06/09/2017 - Rickie Weeks Jr. 10-day DL (06/09) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 06/01/2017 - Shawn Tolleson 60-day DL (04/01) ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 06/01/2017 - Kevin Gadea 60-day DL (03/26) ( Elbow )<br />
[3B] 06/01/2017 - Matt Duffy 60-day DL (04/02) ( Achilles )<br />
[P] 05/18/2017 - Xavier Cedeno 60-day DL (04/18) ( Forearm )<br />
[P] 04/01/2017 - Nathan Eovaldi 60-day DL (03/10) ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 04/03/2017 - Brad Boxberger 60-day DL (04/02) ( Side )
</p>

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction July 9/2017

The Red Sox have lost three of their last four games and they are in first place in the AL East 3.5 games up on the Yankees and 4.5 games up on the Rays. In losing two of three games in this series the Red Sox only totaled one run and in the one win they scored eight runs. Boston’s lineup had been solid in their six-game win streak before dropping three of four games totaling 53 runs. The Rays have won five of their last eight games and their pitching has been superb in the two wins in this series. Archer pitched well facing the Red Sox in Boston in his lone start facing them this season, but has really struggled against them in his career and he will struggle today. Boston’s lineup will get to him early in this division match and add that to Price having a good outing and the Red Sox will win this game and salvage a series split.

 

Free Pick: Take the Red Sox -108
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