Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Odds Analysis - Free MLB Pick
Betting Odds
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The 47-51 Baltimore Orioles hit the road to take on the 51-48 Tampa Bay Rays in the first game of a three-game set at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida tonight. The first pitch for this AL East opener at Tropicana Field is scheduled for 7:10 PM ET.
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The MLB betting board shows the host Rays as a -118 to -130 moneyline favorite. The O/U is offered on most boards at 9.5 runs.
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In their last game the Orioles, beat the Houston Astros 9-7. In the game, the Orioles scored nine runs on 14 hits while the Astros managed seven runs on 10 hits.
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In their last game, the Rays lost to the Texas Rangers 6-5. In the game, the Rays made the most of their six hits scoring five runs but were outdone by the Rangers scored six runs on eight hits.
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This season the Orioles rank 15th in the Majors in runs scored and 29th in team ERA.
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The Rays rank 14th in the Majors in runs scored and 11th in team ERA.
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<h2>
Pitching Match Up<br />
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Baltimore: Kevin Gausman (6-7, 6.11 ERA)<br />
Tampa Bay: Blake Snell (0-5, 4.98 ERA)
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Kevin Gausman goes for the Orioles in the first game of this division series and he is coming off a solid last start going six innings and only giving up one earned run in a 10-2 win over the Texas Rangers. The Orioles had lost his previous two starts where he was lit up for 13 earned runs in only seven innings. Gausman’s best start of the season was early this month facing the Rays where he went seven innings and did not give up any earned runs only allowing two hits in a 7-1 Baltimore win. In 12 career appearances, including 10 starts, against the Rays Gausman is 4-4 with an ERA of 4.21. The Orioles have lost four of his last five road starts against the Rays and they have lost 29 of his last 39 road starts overall.
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Blake Snell gets the call for the Rays tonight and in his last outing he gave up three earned runs in four innings in a 4-3 win over the Oakland A’s. The Rays had lost his previous five starts where he went 25 innings and gave up 18 earned runs. He has not faced the Orioles this season and last season he faced them once giving up four runs in four innings in a Tampa Bay loss. The Rays have lost five Snell’s last six starts against a team with a losing record. Snell’s last four starts have been on the road and he has not pitched at home since May 8th after spending a few weeks in the minors.
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<h2>
Betting Angles<br />
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The Orioles are 7-3 in their last 10 games against the Rays in Tampa Bay.
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In the last 7 games between these teams the Over record is 5-2.
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In the last 6 games between these teams in Tampa Bay the total has gone Over every time.
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This season the Rays are 27-22 at home and the Orioles are 17-30 on the road.
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Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records<br />
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Baltimore Orioles: 47-51 SU / O/U 53-42 / Run Line W/L 46-52<br />
Tampa Bay Rays: 51-48 SU / O/U 55-42 / Run Line W/L 50-49
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<h2>
Baltimore at Tampa Bay Key Betting Trends<br />
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BAL is 5-2 in their last 7 overall
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BAL is 8-23 in their last 31 road games
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BAL has an Over record of 6-0 in their last 6 games
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TB is 0-4 in their last 4 overall
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TB is 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter
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TB has an Over record of 14-4 in their last 28 home games
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Key Player Injuries<br />
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<b>ORIOLES</b><br />
[2B] 07/05/2017 - Ryan Flaherty 60-day DL (05/19) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 06/16/2017 - Mike Wright 10-day DL (06/15) ( Shoulder )<br />
[SS] 06/19/2017 - J.J. Hardy 10-day DL (06/19) ( Wrist )<br />
[CF] 05/28/2017 - Anthony Santander 60-day DL (03/30) ( Elbow )
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<b>RAYS</b><br />
[SS] 07/01/2017 - Daniel Robertson 10-day DL (06/26) ( Neck )<br />
[P] 06/26/2017 - Diego Moreno 60-day DL (05/22) ( Shoulder )<br />
[3B] 06/01/2017 - Matt Duffy 60-day DL (04/02) ( Achilles )<br />
[P] 06/01/2017 - Shawn Tolleson 60-day DL (04/01) ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 06/01/2017 - Kevin Gadea 60-day DL (03/26) ( Elbow )<br />
[CF] 06/09/2017 - Kevin Kiermaier 60-day DL (06/09) ( Hip )<br />
[LF] 06/09/2017 - Rickie Weeks Jr. 10-day DL (06/09) ( Shoulder )<br />
[LF] 06/23/2017 - Colby Rasmus 10-day DL (06/19) ( Hip )<br />
[P] 06/13/2017 - Matt Andriese 60-day DL (06/11) ( Hip )<br />
[P] 04/01/2017 - Nathan Eovaldi 60-day DL (03/10) ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 05/18/2017 - Xavier Cedeno 60-day DL (04/18) ( Forearm )
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Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays prediction July/24/2017
The Orioles snapped their two-game skid with a win in their last game and they are in 4th place in the AL East seven games out of first place. They have won five of their last seven games and their lineup has been pretty solid in that span. The Rays are reeling losing four in a row, but they are still only 3.5 games out of first place in the AL East. They were swept in their last series at home against the Texas Rangers where they lost all three games by one run. Gausman had a good last outing, but was shelled in his previous two starts. He had a fantastic outing in his lone start against the Rays this season, but that game was in Baltimore and he has not pitched well on the road this season and that will continue tonight. Snell is still looking for his first win of the season and in his last two starts he has given up three earned runs. He will pitch decent tonight, but the main reason the Rays will take this game and snap their streak is their lineup will score several runs.