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The 40-43 Baltimore Orioles will try to avoid the sweep when they take on the 46-40 Milwaukee Brewers in the 3rd game of a three-game set at Miller Park in Milwaukee, Wisconsin tonight. The first pitch for the finale at Miller Park is scheduled to be thrown at 7:10 PM ET.
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The hometown Brewers are the -128 favorite in this the final of the series listed on the MLB board at -128. The total for this match is a healthy 10.5 runs.
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In Game 2 of this series yesterday, the Brewers beat the Orioles 6-2. In that game, the Brewers scored six runs on eight hits and the Orioles also had eight hits, but could manage just two runs. Milwaukee’s Eric Thames hit two HRs in the game to bring his total to 23 on the year.
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This season the Orioles rank 23rd in the Majors in runs scored and 29th in team ERA.
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The Brewers rank 8th in the Majors in runs scored and 10th in team ERA.
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<h2>
Pitching Match Up<br />
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<p>
Baltimore: Jayson Aquino (1-1, 9.00 ERA)<br />
Milwaukee: Matt Garza (3-4, 4.36 ERA)
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<p>
Jayson Aquino goes for the Orioles in this series finale and in his last outing it was in relief going one inning and giving up three earned runs in a 12-4 loss to the New York Yankees. That outing was in late April and he was recently recalled from the minors. This game will be Aquino’s 2nd career start and his first one came on April 22nd where he was solid only giving up two earned runs in six innings in a 4-2 win over the Boston Red Sox. His following two appearances before he was sent down to the minors he struggled giving up six earned runs in only two innings of work in two Baltimore losses. Aquino did not tear it up when being sent down to AAA going 2-7 with an ERA of 4.46 in 12 starts.
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Matt Garza gets the starting nod for the Brewers and in his last start he gave up two earned runs in five innings in a 3-2 win over the Miami Marlins. The Brewers had lost his previous two starts where he lasted 11 innings and gave up seven earned runs. Garza has not faced the Orioles since the 2014 season and in his career facing them he is 9-1 with an ERA of 3.11. Milwaukee is only 2-5 in Garza’s last seven starts overall and they are 3-7 in his last10 starts after they had allowed at least two runs in their previous game.
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<h2>
Betting Angles<br />
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<p>
The Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 starts against the Orioles.
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The Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games against the Brewers.
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This season the Brewers are 25-23 at home and the Orioles are 15-27 on the road.
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<h2>
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records<br />
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Baltimore Orioles: 40-43 SU / O/U 42-38 / Run Line W/L 37-46<br />
Milwaukee Brewers: 46-40 SU / O/U 46-36 / Run Line W/L 50-36
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<h2>
Baltimore at Milwaukee Key Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
<li>
BAL is 1-4 in their last 5 overall
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BAL is 6-20 in their last 26 road games
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BAL has an Under record of 7-1 in their last 8 games
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MIL is 5-1 in their last 6 overall
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MIL is 6-1 in their last 7 home games
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MIL has an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 home games
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<h3>
Key Player Injuries<br />
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ORIOLES<br />
[P] 07/04/2017 - Zach Britton 60-day DL (05/05); expected to be activated Wednesday ( Forearm )<br />
[P] 07/04/2017 - Chris Tillman out indefinitely ( Paternity List )<br />
[RF] 07/04/2017 - Mark Trumbo left last game, "?" Wednesday vs. Milwaukee Brewers ( Calf )<br />
[1B] 06/13/2017 - Chris Davis 10-day DL (06/13) ( Oblique )<br />
[SS] 06/19/2017 - J.J. Hardy 10-day DL (06/19) ( Wrist )<br />
[P] 06/16/2017 - Mike Wright 10-day DL (06/15) ( Shoulder )<br />
[CF] 05/28/2017 - Anthony Santander 60-day DL (03/30) ( Elbow )<br />
[2B] 05/21/2017 - Ryan Flaherty 10-day DL (05/19) ( Shoulder )
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BREWERS<br />
[P] 06/21/2017 - Wily Peralta 10-day DL (06/21) ( Calf )<br />
[P] 06/28/2017 - Chase Anderson 10-day DL (06/28) ( Ribs )<br />
[P] 06/14/2017 - Brandon Woodruff 10-day DL (06/13) ( Hamstring )
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