Atlanta Braves at San Francisco Giants
Betting Odds
A decent match on the betting board as the Braves aim for a sweep of the Giants in San Francisco on Sunday night at Oracle Park. The leading team in baseball, the Braves, are eager to continue their path to the playoffs. Let's delve into the details of this match-up.
MLB Betting Odds
As for the odds, San Francisco and rookie Tristan Beck opened around -120 against Atlanta and rookie Jared Shuster. The predicted total runs are set at 9.5, and both figures have remained steady in early betting action.
Braves-Giants Betting Preview
In this series, the Braves secured a 5-1 win in the first game and followed it up with a 7-3 victory in the second. Notably, the Braves keep cashing in the favored role with moneyline odds of -150 with Spencer Strider and -175 with Max Fried. Impressively, they covered against the run line both times with appealing odds of +110 and -110. With their recent victory, the Braves have clinched an impressive 12 out of 15 games. Their exceptional record of 84-44 places them at the forefront, leading the National League by four games in the battle for the best record. However, on the other side, the Giants have encountered a rough patch, with a 4-12 record over the last 16 games. Their overall record of 66-63 places them in a tight spot, trailing Arizona by just a game and a half in the battle for the final NL wild-card spot. Worth noting is that Atlanta leads the season series against San Francisco with four wins out of five games.
Sunday's Pitching Match-Up
Rookie Tristan Beck is set to make his first career start after having 28 appearances in relief. His recent performances have been promising, including a scoreless inning against Philadelphia and five scoreless innings over his last three outings. During the season, Beck has maintained a 3.34 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP, alongside 18 walks and 57 strikeouts. Against Atlanta, he allowed only two hits through four scoreless innings in two appearances this season. Jared Shuster began the season with the main squad, registering one quality start in nine outings before being sent down to AAA ball. He has returned to the Braves as they search for suitable options to fill the back-end rotation positions. Shuster's season record includes a 5.00 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP through 45 innings in the majors and a 5.77 ERA through 60 innings in the minors. This start will be Shuster's first career appearance against San Francisco.
Splits With the Sticks
Atlanta has been batting well against right-handed pitching, maintaining a .269 average with a .340 team OBP and an impressive .490 team slugging percentage. These figures rank as the best in baseball in this category. San Francisco, on the other hand, holds a .247/.305/.379 slash line against left-handed pitching.
The Bullpens
The Giants' bullpen has shown a 3.81 ERA for the season, coupled with a 1.24 WHIP and a 3.09 K/BB ratio. The Braves' bullpen maintains a slightly better ERA at 3.39, with a 1.20 WHIP and a 3.19 K/BB ratio.
MLB Betting Trends
The Braves have a strong record on the road, with 40 wins out of 62 games and an impressive 68-36 record against right-handed starters. San Francisco has performed well at home, securing 35 wins out of 65 games, and has also shown a good record of 20-14 against left-handed starters.
Totals Report
In terms of totals, the overs have dominated in Braves games this season, with 68 out of 126 games leaning towards the over. For the Giants, the Unders have taken the lead, with 72 out of 126 games cashing the Under. At Oracle Park, the Unders have dominated, with 39 out of 63 games favoring the under.
Braves at Giants Pick - Moneyline Prediction
Although San Francisco seems to have an advantage in the pitching match-up, both starters are still relatively unknown quantities. On the other hand, the Braves exhibit a significant advantage with their batting strength and a marginal edge in the bullpen comparison. Additionally, considering the Braves' current momentum and the Giants' slump, diverging trends play a vital role in our baseball handicapping. Given these factors, my betting pick for this Sunday night is in favor of the Braves.