Duke's Mayo Bowl Pick: UNC vs. WVU
Date:
December 27, 5:30 pm
Location:
Bank of America Stadium
Betting Odds
Point Spread:
WVU -6.5
Moneyline:
UNC +205 to +219, WVU -250 to -260
Total:
56
Recent Form
North Carolina: 8-4 record, averaging 36.58 points on offense and allowing 27.08 points on defense.
West Virginia: Also 8-4, with an average of 31.58 offensive points and 27.50 points conceded defensively.
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Power Stats
Yards Per Point: UNC at 13.78 (offense) and 14.96 (defense), WVU at 13.87 (offense) and 13.97 (defense).
Yards Per Pass: UNC's differential is 2.39, WVU's is 2.79.
Yards Per Rush: UNC averages 5.18 yards, WVU 5.26, with slight defensive disadvantages for both.
Smart Chart
Offense/Defense Differential: UNC at 9.5, WVU at 4.08.
Passing/Rushing Yards (Offense): UNC with 295.42/197.08, WVU with 199.42/234.33.
Passing/Rushing Yards (Defense): UNC allows 225.08/162.83, WVU allows 225.75/144.33.
Turnover Differential: UNC -0.58, WVU 0.
Team Records
North Carolina: Struggles in recent form and against conference opponents.
West Virginia: Better recent form but struggles against conference opponents.
Head-to-Head Summary
Past Meetings: UNC and WVU are 1-1 in recent matchups, with close scoring and rushing statistics.
Betting Odds Trends
West Virginia: Strong recent SU performance, with totals going OVER.
North Carolina: Struggling ATS, mixed SU performance.
Last 5 Games
North Carolina: Mixed results with significant offensive output but defensive struggles.
West Virginia: More consistent wins with strong offensive performances.
Free Duke's Mayo Bowl Pick
The Tar Heels won only one true road game this season, and that was over the lowly Panthers back in September. They did get the win in their season opener, beating the Gamecocks on a neutral field. UNC has lost their last three on the road. Correcting that trend may be difficult with their starting QB Drake Maye skipping the game WR Conner Harrell, top WR Tez Walker, and top TE Bryson Nesbit out.
The WVU comes in relatively healthy. They’ll be missing their leading yardage RB CJ Donaldson Jr., but Jahiem White has taken over as the No. 1 back and looks like a potential star, averaging 8.2 yards per carry. The Mountaineers didn’t beat all that much this season, but in two of their losses, they played tough. They were tied with Oklahoma State until halfway through the 4th, and they lost to Houston on the last play of the game.
Free Pick:
Take WVU -6.5
