I alluded to the Volunteers offensive woes above and the fact they have been held to 17 points or less in 4 straight games against mediocre opponents. While Florida's defense has not been overly impressive, the match-up against Tennessee is not fearful either. In my opinion, QB Jarrett Guarantano is the most overrated quarterback in SEC history. Despite the enormous expectations before the season began, the Vols senior QB has thrown just six passing touchdowns compared to 4 interceptions. The Volunteers have been ineffective in the passing game and rely on a one-dimensional running attack that is not exactly overly threatening either. The Gators defense has been criticized in recent weeks for underperforming, but this is the stylistic match-up that can turn things back in the right direction. Even if you don't trust Florida's defense, just trust the Vols' inability to move the football because that will be the key to this cover.

Indiana lost its starting QB, but there's more to this team than one guy. And besides, it looks like Tuttle can play. Meanwhile, Wisconsin is still breaking in a new quarterback and a new main running back and struggled against an excellent Northwestern defense last week. Most recent meetings between these teams resulted in Badgers blowouts, but we expect a much tighter, low-scoring affair Saturday. So we're taking the Hoosiers and the points.

Coach Brennan seems to be building something good at San Jose State, which is on track for its first winning season since 2012. The Spartans played 5-7 last year, with three losses by three points or less. Now, they're winning games. And most importantly, they're doing it with defense, holding foes to 349 yards and 15 points per game. Boise State is still the better team here and should win this game, but last year's contest was close, and this one should be, too. We like San Jose State here, plus the points.

Personally, I think the 25 point betting spread is slightly risky because it will be heavily influenced by Auburn's production on offense. The Tigers looked awful against a comparable Georgia defense but traditionally manufacture scoring opportunities through efficient design. I could see Auburn being held to a low 14-17 point scoring total, and I can also see other opportunities where they get into a shootout with Alabama, given the Crimson Tide will be clearly ahead in both scenarios. Therefore, I think the best bet in this game is the "over" 60.5 point total. Even in a situation where Auburn's offense flops, it should only drive up Alabama's scoring potential. Heck, the Crimson Tide are nearly averaging 50 points per game. I personally believe this is a sweet spot for Jones to attack Auburn's pass defense, but honestly, Alabama will probably have success on the ground as well. In this revenge spot, I don't expect Alabama to show mercy nor have trouble towards creating scoring opportunities. If we get just a little help from Auburn's offense, this will be an easy total to hit.

Wisconsin is probably the better team in this match-up and probably should be favored, but its romp over Michigan last week probably inflates the line on this game by at least three points. And let's face it, Michigan stinks. Meanwhile, Northwestern, thanks to good coaching and a similar style of play, is always a pain in the ass for the Badgers. The Wildcats own seven outright victories over the last 14 meetings between these teams, every one of them upsets on the betting line. Most recent meetings have played out tough and low-scoring, and we expect another one here. We like Northwestern, plus the points.   

Wisconsin looked great against Illinois but come on, that was Illinois. The Badgers are still breaking in a new QB and a new lead running back. Meanwhile, this may be Michigan's last stand for Coach Harbaugh. Falling to 1-3 will be embarrassing, and the talk has begun about Harbaugh's departure. After playing below expectations, the last two weeks do the Wolverines have a bounce-back effort in them? We believe they do. We'll go against the betting flow and take Michigan plus the points here.

Minnesota is the better team here, and while the Gophers might be struggling on defense, Illinois isn't exactly stuffing people, either. Also, the Illini will again be without their starting quarterback. Minnesota beat Illinois by 23 points last season, and while that seems like a bit much for this game, eight would be enough. We're giving the points here with the Gophers.

I somewhat understand the logic of the Bulldogs being favored in this spot. Georgia has been the more highly ranked team all year, and the consensus pick to take down the division. However, I believe Florida is playing the better football between both schools as it currently stands. I imagine this will be a hard-fought game on both sides of the ball. The only difference is the Gators have the playmakers to make critical plays on the offensive side of the football. Georgia does not. As a result, I think the Gators win outright!</p>

Three of the last four meetings between these teams have been decided by three points or less, and the other one was a four-point game into the fourth quarter. We expect more of the same Saturday. We like the Nittany Lions, plus the points. 

While I believe Penn State is a rightful play in the underdog role due to my belief in their defense, I am by no means claiming that is a safe play. Ohio State still has an explosive offense, and I'm not ruling out the idea of the Buckeyes shutting down Penn State's offense. When I break down this game in terms of match-up and projected game script, I believe the best play will be the "under" on the 64.5 total. Both teams put a heavy focus on running the football, as I have alluded to several times; both defenses have the better match-up in this game. Additionally, if you look at the history of Ohio State vs. Penn State, these games have traditionally been low scoring contests. Since James Franklin's arrival in Happy Valley, only once has the total for Ohio State vs. Penn State eclipsed the 60 point mark, and that includes the double-overtime thriller in 2014 that produced just 55 points. Trust me, the most probabilistic route to victory in this betting scenario lies with the under!

Say what you want about South Carolina, but they compete very well. From a match-up standpoint, the Gamecocks have a lot of opportunistic paths to victory by establishing the run and getting help from the defense, which we have seen play really well in recent weeks. I think this game is more of a toss-up, so I will gladly take the points.

I would not be surprised to see Georgia get the outright win here though Alabama's offense has the most scoring potential. I just believe the under 58.5 has the most value as both teams will have trouble finding the end zone.

I really like how this Florida offense operates. They do not make many mistakes and they take advantage of the mismatches which should be open all night. Trust Florida here!</p>

I think this will be a very physical football game as both teams attempt to establish the run and play sound defense. Unfortunately for Auburn, the Bulldogs are more strongly suited to win this type of war. If Bennett gets the nod as he deserves, I like the Bulldogs even more!

I'm not convinced that the Vols are deserving of the high expectations this season and are not overvalued as they typically are in the preseason. The Gamecocks are live for the upset, and I think they get the job done in a low-scoring game.

Unless the Cardinals defense completely implodes, I believe Louisville is the better all-around team, and I really like the potential involving the Cardinals offense going forward. I see too much upside in the home team to ignore and will back Louisville with confidence!

I am really high on North Carolina this year and would not be surprised to see the Tar Heels perform well from the opening kick. Meanwhile, I think Syracuse needs time to turn things around, and they will be the inferior football team in this match-up on both sides of the football.

When you’re getting points on a proven winner on a big roll of wins with a great QB who has never lost, it's hard to pass up. And when that team has a better defense, it makes it that much harder. I see the LSU offensive line being under siege, which will disrupt Burrow just enough to keep him from approaching the kind of game he had against Oklahoma. Having been here before and winning as underdogs will show, with the calm and cool Lawrence keeping Clemson right in this game. Clemson is a team the knows how to accumulate the little edges, and their preparedness, experience, attention to detail, and ability to adjust on the fly will serve them well in this spot. I'm taking Clemson.