College Basketball Picks - ATS Predictions
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Based on statistical information, this game appears to be a closely matched contest between two teams with different strengths. While Louisiana-Lafayette has the edge in assists and rebounding, South Alabama has an advantage in turnovers and offensive shooting percentage. However, considering the recent trends and the fact that Louisiana-Lafayette has won eight out of their last 12 games against South Alabama, I think they get the money here. I'm calling it 72-69 in favor of Louisiana-Lafayette.
Based on the stats and trends, Rutgers has the edge in situational records (home vs. road and head-to-head). Additionally, Rutgers has an advantage in rebounding, assists turnovers, and shooting percentage differential. That has me on laying the points tonight. Take Rutgers -5.
Miami owns an edge offensively but Pitt owns an edge defensively. And in match-ups like thus we like betting the better defense. Also, when these teams met five weeks ago the game came down to a missed 3-pointer at the buzzer. Also, the Hurricanes might be down a starter. This should be a good one, and close, so we’re taking the Panthers and the points.
The statistical analysis and betting trends give us the Kansas State Wildcats as the the favorite to win this game. They have a slight advantage in several key statistical categories, and West Virginia has historically struggled against them. However, we can't totally discount the Mountaineers strong home record and could potentially turn things around in this game. Ultimately, the Wildcats are the safer bet to win this game and that's where my money is landing.
Kent State has a better overall record than Akron and has been dominant at home, winning all 14 of their home games. Kent State also has a better shooting percentage and rebounding average than Akron. However, Akron has been competitive in its recent games, winning seven of its last ten games, including a recent win over Kent State on February 3, 2023. The Golden Flashes are 8-0 at home in conference play but just 4-4 versus the line. Take the points.
Purdue appears to have a clear advantage over Wisconsin in most statistical categories. Purdue has a stronger offensive game with a higher shooting percentage and more assists per game, and they also dominate the rebounding game. While Wisconsin has a slightly better defense, it may not be enough to overcome Purdue's offensive prowess. Additionally, with The Badgers' recent struggles both ATS and in covering the spread at home, The Boilermakers may have a good opportunity to win by more than four points.
The expert handicapper predicts that Villanova will win this game, covering the -3 point spread. Villanova has a stronger overall record this season and has been more consistent than Seton Hall. Additionally, Villanova has been successful against Seton Hall in their recent matchups, winning their last six games against them. While Seton Hall has an advantage in assists and rebounds, Villanova's better shooting percentage and defense should give them the edge in this game.
Both Eastern Michigan and Bowling Green have struggled this season, with similar records of 8-20 and 9-19, respectively. Bowling Green has a slight advantage in rebounds and shooting percentage, but Eastern Michigan has covered the spread in four of their last five road games. Therefore, we believe Eastern Michigan will cover the spread and potentially get the outright win.
The Hornets had been struggling to put up points on the road scoring 56 or fewer in three straight. That came to an end with a dream shooting night hitting 9 of 19 from three-point land, putting up 72 points. They may be able to keep that going tonight against a Portland State defense that is ranked 320th in 3-point defense. Take the points.
This is a bit of a tough spread. Nevada does need the win to strengthen their chances of a tourney invite, but they don’t always extend the margin. A case in point is their last two road wins being by four and a single point. That said, I certainly can’t play a team who has had trouble scoring since losing G Noah Reynolds.
I don’t have a ton of confidence in backing the Tar heels on the road laying points where they’re 1-8 in ACC road games. This is one of those plug your nose and hit the bet button. Take the Seminoles +7.5 and hope that they have another Miami-type game in them.
Baylor stumbled a bit last week with back-to-back losses but it’s still a top 10 team with big aspirations. And while the Bears might be without George the rest of the team picked up the slack without him Saturday. Oklahoma State, meanwhile, is stumbling right now; not only have the Cowboys lost four straight, one came by 18 points, another by 25. Also, Baylor handled OSU rather easily earlier this season. We’re betting the Bears Monday night.
Penn State owns a three-game winning streak while Rutgers is 1-4 its last five times out. And usually momentum means a lot to us when handicapping basketball games. However, our belief here is the Knights are better than that, while the Lions recently took advantage of playing the Big 10’s two worst teams. Also, Rutgers is one of the best defensive teams in the country and does a better job on the boards. We like the Scarlet Knights to bounce back Sunday and win this game outright.
Duke has a stronger rebounding game and has a lower turnover ratio than Virginia Tech, which could give them an edge in this matchup. Virginia Tech's offensive shooting percentage is slightly higher than Duke's, but Duke's defense is more effective at limiting opponents' shooting percentage. Based on these factors, Duke appears to have the upper hand in this game.
Purdue has the advantage in rebounding, but Indiana has the edge in shooting percentage. The two teams have similar numbers in assists, but Purdue has a better assist to turnover ratio. While the game could go either way, Purdue's home-court advantage and strong rebounding make them the more likely team to cover the spread and come out with a win.
Creighton has the advantage in this matchup as they have a better assist-to-turnover ratio, rebounding, and shooting percentage differential than Villanova.however, Villanova has been solid from the free-throw line and has shown that they can win games outright, even as an underdog. In conclusion, this game has the potential to be a close one, with both teams having their strengths and weaknesses. We are giving the edge to Creighton to win this game and cover the spread and expect Creighton to control the pace of the game with their superior rebounding and shooting.
The spread is kind of on the high side, and Clemson has been dominating this series, winning five of the last six and going 5-0-1 over that stretch, and the public is siding with them. That said NC State has the better recent form and has been playing better at home, winning eight straight and covering the spread in three of their last four.
Based on my analysis, Marshall Thundering Herd has a better chance of winning the game. They have been on a winning streak, have an edge in field goal percentage, and have a better ratio of assists to turnovers. They also have better rebounding stats than Old Dominion Monarchs. Plus, they are healthy with no injuries to report, giving them an added advantage.
The Musketeers have come up short in recent games losing three of their last four outings, with all three defeats by four or fewer points. The Pirates played them really tough on the road and now get the advantage of playing at home at the Prudential Center. That said, the question mark for both teams is on the injury front, with one of the best scorers F Zach Freemantle for Xavier expected to miss and G Kadary Richmond, the QB on the Seton Hall team questionable. The under looks like the play here.