Baltimore Orioles at Texas Rangers Game 3 Pick and Predictions

Baltimore Orioles at Texas Rangers Game 3 Pick and Predictions

Cliff Knox
Date: October 10, 8:00 pm
Location: Globe Life Field
TV: Fox

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Balt +120/Tex -140
Total: 9

Playoff fever is in the air, folks! We're diving into Game 3 of this electrifying divisional-round series. The Texas Rangers have their sights set on the American League championship series, needing just one more win to seal the deal. On the other hand, the Baltimore Orioles are in survival mode, looking to avoid the dreaded sweep in Arlington.

The mound showdown features Nathan Eovaldi for the Rangers and Dean Kremer for the Orioles. Let's dissect this matchup and see where the smart money's leaning.

MLB Betting Odds

When the curtain lifted on Tuesday's playoff betting, Texas was favored at around -130 over Baltimore, with an over/under line set at nine runs. But the early bettors gave the Rangers a boost, pushing them up to -140.

Orioles-Rangers Game 3 Betting Preview

The Rangers came out swinging, winning the first two games of this best-of-five thriller. They clinched Game 1 with a 3-2 victory as +115 underdogs and followed up with an 11-8 win in Game 2 as +100 underdogs. So, they're on the brink of reaching their first American League championship series since 2011.

Baltimore finished the regular season with an 11-game lead over the Rangers. Yet, Texas managed to level the season series with three wins apiece.

Tuesday's Pitching Match-Up

Nathan Eovaldi had a rough end to the regular season, conceding 17 runs and five homers over his last four starts in just over 16 innings. But he hit the reset button in the wild-card round against Tampa Bay, allowing just one run and six hits across 6 2/3 innings with zero walks and eight strikeouts, securing a 7-1 win for Texas.

Eovaldi had a solid 15-10 record this season, and he's off to a good start in the postseason.

Dean Kremer closed the regular season with three non-quality starts, mainly due to pitch limits. However, he made a statement in his latest outing, pitching 5 1/3 scoreless innings with only two hits against Boston in a 2-0 Orioles win. Over his last three starts, he allowed just four earned runs and 11 hits in nearly 15 innings.

The Orioles boasted an impressive 24-8 record with Kremer this season, and he's been nearly flawless in his last 15 outings.

Splits With the Sticks

Baltimore held a .253 batting average against right-handed pitching, complemented by a .316 team OBP and a .418 team slugging percentage. In contrast, Texas sported a .261/.334/.456 slash line against righty pitchers, making them one of the most formidable lineups in this category.

The Bullpens

The Rangers' bullpen had a 4.77 ERA this season, a 1.27 WHIP, and a 2.76 K/BB ratio. On the flip side, the Orioles' pen posted a 3.55 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a 2.90 K/BB ratio.

MLB Betting Trends

Baltimore was an AL-best 52-29 on the road this season and had a strong 65-44 record against right-handed starters. Meanwhile, Texas recorded a solid 50-31 home record and went 62-56 against righty starters.

Totals Report

For those interested in totals, note that the over hit in 81 of Orioles' games this season and in 81 of Rangers' games. Also, at Globe Life Field, the over prevailed in 46 of the 74 games played this season.

Orioles vs. Rangers Game 3 Betting Prediction

Alright, the verdict is in. We'll give Eovaldi a slight edge in the pitching matchup, although it's a close call. When it comes to the sticks, Texas has a slight advantage, but Baltimore owns the edge in the bullpen comparison.

Here's the deal, folks. Do we really believe the Orioles, who racked up 101 regular-season wins, will allow themselves to be swept away? We don't think so. Our money's on Baltimore to rally back and claim Game 3 on Tuesday night. Happy betting!

Free Pick: Take Baltimore +120
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