The Dodgers, leading the Series 2-0, now head to Yankee Stadium as +120 underdogs in Game 3. Can New York get on the board, or will LA continue its dominance?

After taking the first two games of this World Series at home, the Dodgers aim to take a commanding 3-0 Series lead as the teams meet for Game 3 Monday night in the Bronx.

Los Angeles started the Series with a dramatic Game 1 win on Freddie Freeman’s walk-off grand slam, followed by a solid Game 2 victory. However, star Shohei Ohtani suffered a shoulder injury, which adds uncertainty to LA's lineup for Monday night.

New York looks to Clarke Schmidt, while the Dodgers counter with Walker Buehler. How are we playing Game 3 with our free World Series betting pick?

World Series Betting Odds

Game 3 opened with New York at -145 over Los Angeles, with a total of 8 runs. Early action moved the line to -140 and bumped the total to 8.5. The Dodgers are also now -435 to win the Series, with the Yankees listed at +315.

Game 3 Betting Preview

Los Angeles grabbed a 2-0 Series lead with a 4-2 Game 2 win Saturday night. The Dodgers broke a 1-1 tie with a three-run third inning, then held off a ninth-inning rally from New York, with Alex Vesia securing the save by getting Jose Trevino to fly out with the bases loaded.

The Dodgers cashed in as -130 favorites and covered the run line at +140, with the game going under 8.5. Los Angeles also won Game 1 in thrilling fashion, showcasing their late-inning heroics.

On the Game 2 prop board, Yankees outfielder Juan Soto homered (+300), while Dodgers’ Freddie Freeman, Teoscar Hernandez, and Tommy Edman also homered, priced at +500, +350, and +500 respectively.

Ohtani remains questionable with a sprained shoulder, though we expect him to play in this pivotal game.

Game 3 Pitching Match-Up

Clarke Schmidt posted a 2/16 quality start rating this season and is 0/2 this postseason. His most recent outing saw him allow two runs over 4 2/3 innings against Cleveland in the ALCS. Schmidt’s only postseason win was against Kansas City in the ALDS. This will be his first time facing the Dodgers.

Buehler, also at 2/16 in quality starts this season, is 0/2 in the playoffs. He last pitched 12 days ago, throwing four scoreless innings in an NLCS victory over the Mets, though he needed 90 pitches to get there. This, too, is his first career start against the Yankees.

Splits With the Sticks

Both lineups rank among the top against right-handed pitching. Los Angeles batted .253 with a .334 OBP and .442 SLG against righties, while New York hit .253/.332/.445 in the same split.

The Bullpens

The Yankees bullpen recorded a 3.62 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, and a 2.62 K/BB ratio, while the Dodgers’ pen posted a 3.53 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, and a 2.69 K/BB ratio, making these bullpen matchups nearly even.

MLB Betting Trends

• Yankees: 44-37 at home, 73-45 against RH starters
• Dodgers: 46-35 on the road, 62-47 against RH starters

Totals Report

• Overs hit 86-69 in Yankees games this season.
• Overs hit 89-68 in Dodgers games.
• Combined 14-6 to the Over in Yankees and Dodgers playoff games.
• Overs went 45-33 at Yankee Stadium.
• Unders hit 15-13 combined with Schmidt and Buehler this season.

We see a slight edge with Schmidt on the mound, though these teams are close overall. Despite Ohtani’s injury uncertainty, we anticipate he’ll play. Given the Dodgers are +120 underdogs in Game 3 after two wins, we like the value on Los Angeles to continue their momentum and take a 3-0 Series lead.