Clemson is the better team here and should win this game, but that spread is probably inflated. Death Valley is undoubtedly one of the toughest places to play in college football, but we feel home-field advantage is regularly overrated by both oddsmakers and bettors alike. And the Tigers only finished 3-4 ATS at home last year, mainly because they were favored by too much too often. Texas A&M probably won't win this game, but we're taking the points.

In my humble opinion, Boise State was set up to pull off the shocker that they did on Saturday as they were up against a "name-brand" team in Florida State that will be favored more by hype and namesake than actual quality. Given what happened last year when Boise State traveled to Oklahoma State where they had their doors blown off, the Broncos came in once again as the underdog that the public sneered at. This role is one that the Broncos have enjoyed occupying and done exceptionally well in. Now, BSU is on the flip-side as everyone expects big things from them. In essence, the hunter becomes the hunted.

On the contrary, Marshall is not being given much of a chance. In finding value, we see Boise State swing essentially 19.5 points from a near-touchdown pooch to a double-digit favorite. Contrarily, Marshall went from a massive 44-point favorite to now a double-digit dog, in essence, creating a 56-point swing on the Herd. That in itself should say where my money is going. However, I expect this game to be a nip-and-tuck affair that Marshall could easily pull the upset. Nevertheless, this one will be close, and I cannot see Boise winning this by more than a touchdown, no matter what. Grab the points.

Oregon probably owns the edge offensively, especially considering Auburn is going with a freshman at quarterback, but the Tigers own the better defense, led by what should be one of the best D lines in the country. And for evenly-matched contests like this, we prefer to bet the better defense. So we're giving the short spread here with Auburn.

SMU’s defense finished 110th in scoring defense in 2018 giving up an accommodating 35.3 points per game. This is a common trope of the offensive-oriented skipper Sonny Dykes. Unfortunately, SMU’s offense is very weak when it comes to running the rock as they finished 119th in rushing yards per game (115.5 rushing yards per game). Against a team like Arkansas State who is known for flexing their offensive muscles, this is a terrible look for the Mustangs. SMU likely won't be able to keep the fired-up Arkansas State offense off the field, and when the Red Wolves have the ball, they will have little resistance in scoring. This one will be a blow-out. Be that as it may, we are fortunate to spot less than a field goal.

Would I be shocked if the Chanticleers staged an upset? Not by any stretch. However, I do not see them overcoming Eastern Michigan by virtue of the coaching edge that lies with the Eagles. After all, this is Coastal Carolina’s first game under Head Coach Jamey Chadwell who is just 3-9 in his career as a Head Coach. EMU's skipper Chris Creighton has a system implemented in place that has made the Eagles relevant again and one that many of the returning players have bought into. The same cannot be inferred for CC. However, the bounty of new starters for Eastern Michigan makes them a dicey proposition as road chalk, and this is a game that will likely be a sloppy one settled by a field goal.

South Carolina owns a significant advantage in the quarterback comparison, which is probably why the line on this game moved so much. However, Coach Brown brings a little gravitas to North Carolina's situation, and the Heels were better than their record indicated last year. They only got out-gained by six YPG. North Carolina might not win this one outright, but we're taking the Heels and the points.

This game could become one-sided, and I do think Florida International is going to get on top of Tulane quick and never look back. FIU is a dangerous team and a name that many should pay attention to. Given how the Panthers schedule sets up, it is a very strong possibility that this unit will find itself undefeated heading into their rivalry clash with FAU on November 9th. Should they get past the Owls unscathed, it will be very interesting to see how things transpire when they host the Miami Hurricanes on November 23rd. However, first thing first, I expect the Panthers to make a statement here and win this one by double-digits. Play this one outright on the Money Line.

I would not be shocked by any means if the Rainbow Warriors staged an upset here. After all, in their opening frame in 2018, Hawaii laid siege to Colorado State in their own yard by a score of 43-34 despite closing as over a 17-point underdog. Hawaii would then follow up this result with another upset of a double-digit favorite when they welcomed Navy to Honolulu in the week after that. Quite frankly, I could see Hawaii being priced as a favorite here much to the chagrin of many as they are the better team with a significant home-field advantage. With Arizona on upset-alert, there is more than enough equity here to take back the points as I can't see Hawaii losing this game by more touchdown or more.

I had predicted that Clemson would beat Notre Dame going away if it brought it’s A Game into the Cotton Bowl. I went on to bet against that happening and paid the price. I am now asking the question, is the Tigers’ A Game good enough to beat Alabama?

The answer to that question remains up in the air, but I do believe that each of these offenses will be able to score enough points to take the total OVER the current 59.5-point line.

LSU was once considered a playoff-caliber team, and they still remain one of the best teams in the nation, but this matchup is all about respect. UCF has beaten every team it has faced for two seasons in a row, including Auburn last season as a heavy underdog in a major bowl game.

Motivation is a critical handicapping factor when it comes to betting college bowls. I honestly believe that UCF goes on to win this game SU, but I will be more than happy to take the 7.5 points in a bet that the Knights cover.

NC State was one of the better teams in the ACC this season, but it could have a tough time keeping pace against a Texas A&M offense that may be just reaching its peak heading into this game. Fisher has plenty of experience beating ACC teams and he probably has a few tricks hidden in his playbook for this matchup.

My lean is towards the Aggies covering the current touchdown spread, but my ‘best bet’ pick is the OVER on the total line in another wild one for Texas A&M.

As mentioned, if Clemson can bring its A-Game to Texas it will be a long afternoon for the Irish at the Cotton Bowl. Even if that is the case, covering a double-digit spread against the third-best team in the nation will be a tall task.

With the current spread jumping to 13.5 points, my lean is towards Clemson SU in a game that will be closer than most people think. Take Notre Dame and the 13.5 points now since there is a good chance that some late money on the Irish could drive that number down.

Some time has passed since these two teams used to butt heads in the old Big East Conference, but there is still a bit of a rivalry burning between them coming into this game. Losing Grier evens things up quite a bit, and I would give Syracuse the clear edge in motivation given how West Virginia’s season came to a close.

The total score should threaten the 68-point line in what could still be a wild one, but my ‘best bet’ pick is Syracuse ATS.

You have to question each team's motivation coming into this game after failing to come close to their lofty expectations. Playing this game outdoors in New York could give a slight lean to the cold-weather Badgers against a team from South Florida.

I see this matchup turning into a grinder with each defense stepping up its game to keep the total UNDER the current 48-point betting line.

As a mid-level ACC team, the Eagles could actually be stepping up in class against one of the top teams in the competitive Mountain West. Anytime you have a top Mid Major going up against a fairly average team from a Power 5 conference there is value going with a team that is coming in with something to prove.

Take the Broncos both SU and ATS in this matchup in a game that will not be as close as the current spread suggests.

Houston has some solid wins under its belt this season, but it was not playing its best ball at the end of the season on the defensive side of the ball which could be an issue against one of the top rushing teams in the nation. The Cougars could also have a tough time getting close to its scoring average against the Knights’ defense.

Lay the points in this one and take Army to win and cover the current field goal spread.

The total line in this game is set high for a reason, and there is an excellent chance that if both offenses show up, it will go OVER. I still like Memphis as the better all-around team. The Tigers' balanced attack is going to be tough to stop for a Wake Forest defense that struggled to slow down much less potent offenses it faced this season.

Lay the five points and take the Tigers to win and cover against the Demon Deacons.

Despite Toledo’s surge to the post-season it still remains a question how motivated this team will be for this match. A year ago, Toledo found itself in the Dollar General Bowl in a high-profile collision with Appalachian State, the Sun Belt Champion. Regardless, Toledo got shutout. However, by comparison, this contest could be classed as a step-down for the Rockets, and they may just treat this as a formality. FIU has not won a bowl in eight years and the last time they did was against Toledo. Coach Butch Davis will use this ironic twist of fate as a motivational tool. Still, Toledo may win here, but the number presented affords the possibility of FIU to keep this one close and cover in what will be a one-possession game.

Overall, UAB is the better balanced of the two teams as they are strong on both sides of the football. The Blazers own an offense that scores 29.3 points per game (62nd in the FBS) compared to NIU who put up just 20.7 points per outing (120th nationally). The Huskies offense is among the worst as they are 123rd in total offense (325 yards per game), UAB accrues 400.4 yards per game (67th nationally). On the defensive side, the Huskies boast a 14th ranked rushing defense that gives up 109.7 yards per game. However, UAB's defense is a top-ten unit in both scoring (17.3 points per game), and total defense (300.2 yards per game). Very simply, everything NIU can do, UAB can do better, and they use this venue to showcase how far their program has come. UAB wins big.

The Blue Raiders have many of the required ingredients here to pull an upset including committing fewer penalties, are more efficient in the red zone, and they play better possession football than their counterparts. It doesn't end there, the Blue Raiders also have an edge in the kicking game. All of this can potentially neutralize Appalachian State's sixth-ranked scoring defense (15.7 points per game) as MTSU will have the Mountaineers defense on the field longer and thus create more opportunities to put points on the board. Appalachian State is accustomed to bullying many of the constituents in their conference, but they will have their hands full against a fearless Middle Tennessee State team that will be looking for a signature win to cap off what has been a tremendous season for their program.