USC Trojans at Baylor Bears Free Pick - Betting Odds

USC Trojans at Baylor Bears Free Pick - Betting Odds

Cliff Knox
Date: March 19, 7:45 pm
Location: BOK Center
TV: Tru TV

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Baylor -6.5
Total: 143

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The 11th seed USC Trojans face the 3rd seed Baylor Bears in an East Region 2nd round NCAA Tournament game that will take place at a neutral site at the Bank of Oklahoma Center in Tulsa, Oklahoma Sunday March 19th at 7:45 PM ET. The oddsmaker opened the Baylor Bears as a six point favorite over the US Trojans and that line has moved to -6.5 at many betting shops. The total for this round of 32 game is listed at 142.5 points down a half point from its opening line.
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USC is coming off a 66-65 win over SMU in the first round of the NCAA Tournament where they covered the spread as a 7-point underdog. The total number of points scored in the game was 121, which was under the closing line of 140. The Trojans have covered the spread in five of their last six games, including their last three, and in five of their last six games the total has gone under. USC has won two in a row and five of their last six games.
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Baylor is coming off a 91-73 win over New Mexico State in the first round of the NCAA Tournament where they covered the 11.5-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 164, which was well over the closing line of 135. The Bears have covered the spread in three of their last four games and in four of their last five games, including their last three, the total has gone over. Baylor has won three of their last four games.
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Offensively, USC is putting up 78.6 points per game on a 45.3% FG average. On the defensive side of the ball the Trojans are allowing 65.8 points per game on a 43.2% FG average.
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Baylor is putting up 72.7 points per game on a 47% FG average. On defense the Bears are allowing 62.7 points per game, which ranks 17th in the nation, on a 40% FG average, which ranks 15th in the nation.
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This is the first ever game between these two teams.
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USC Trojans at Baylor Bears Betting Trends<br />
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The game total has gone over in 8 of USC’s last 12 Sunday games.
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The game total has gone over in 6 of USC’s last 8 non-conference games.
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Baylor are 9-4 against the spread in their last 13 Sunday games.
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The game total has gone under in 10 of Baylor’s last 15 games at a neutral site.
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Public Money Consensus<br />
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In this NCAAB matchup between USC and Baylor have the public leaning slightly to the Trojans getting the 6.5 points with 59%. The over/under bettors believe this game will stay under the posted total line of 143 with 54% on board.
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USC Trojans at Baylor Bears Prediction

I like the Bears here. Both clubs have played well on neutral courts with USC going 6-1 and Baylor 5-1, but those records are misleading. Four of the Trojans victories came against such powerhouse teams as BYU, Missouri State, Wyoming and Washington while the Bears beat three quality clubs in VCU, Michigan State and Louisville. In those three matches Baylor went 3-0 against the spread with two of three wins by greater than today’s listed line.

Free Pick: Take the Baylor Bears -6.5
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