North Carolina Tar Heels at Virginia Cavaliers Free Pick - Betting Odds - Point Spread Prediction

North Carolina Tar Heels at Virginia Cavaliers Free Pick - Betting Odds - Point Spread Prediction

Cliff Knox
Date: February 27, 7:00 pm
Location: John Paul Jones Arena
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: North Carolina -2.5
Total: 132.5

<p>
The 19th ranked Virginia Cavaliers host the 8th ranked North Carolina Tar Heels in an ACC game that will take place at the John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville, Virginia at 7 PM ET. UNC hit the NCAA betting board as a -1 favorite, but that has been quickly bet up to as high as -3. The total line for this game is listed at 131.5 points.
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<p>
North Carolina is coming off an 85-67 win over Pittsburgh in their last game where they covered the 9-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 152, which was under the closing line of 153. The Tar Heels have covered the spread in their last four games and in their last three games the total has gone under every time. North Carolina has won four in a row and six of their last seven games.
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<p>
Virginia is coming off a 70-55 win over NC State in their last game where they covered the 6.5-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 125, which was under the closing line of 134.5. Previous to the NC State game the Cavaliers had failed to cover the spread in four straight games and in their last four games the total has gone under every time. Virginia had lost four in a row before the win over NC State.
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<p>
Offensively, North Carolina is putting up 86.4 points per game, which ranks 7th in the nation, on a 47% FG average. On the defensive side of the ball the Tar Heels are allowing 70.6 points per game on a 42% FG average.
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<p>
Virginia is putting up 67.1 points per game on a 47.3% FG average. On defense the Cavaliers are allowing 55.8 points per game, which ranks 1st in the nation, on a 39.5% FG average, which ranks 14th in the nation.
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<p>
These teams met on February 18th at North Carolina where the Tar Heels beat the Cavaliers 65-41.
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<h2>
North Carolina Tar Heels at Virginia Cavaliers Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
<li>
North Carolina is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games overall.
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<li>
The Tar Heels are 6-13 against the spread in their last 19 road games.
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<li>
The game total has gone over in 5 of North Carolina’s last 7 games against Virginia.
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<li>
Virginia is 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 games overall.
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<li>
The Cavaliers are 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 games at home against the Tar Heels.
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</ul>
<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
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<p>
In this college basketball matchup between North Carolina and Virginia have the public leaning heavily to the Tar Heels minus the 2.5 point on the road with over 85%. The over/under bettors are definitively betting on the this game going over the posted total line of 132.5 with over 70% on board.
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North Carolina Tar Heels at Virginia Cavaliers Prediction

Virginia lost four straight before getting a victory in their latest against North Carolina State. I definitely don't think that the win over a NC State team that who had lost seven of their previous eight signals any sort of reversal of form. The Tar Heels are just 6-4 on the road, so it's not like they can't come up with a dud here. That said, I don't believe that will be the case here. UNC rocked UVA by 24 points in their previous match up and it wasn't hot shooting by the offense. It was their defense holding Virginia to a 27.8 FG% and a miniscule 10% from behind the arc.

Free Pick: Take the UNC Tar Heels -2.5
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