New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Odds & Predictions

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Odds & Predictions

Darin Zank
Date: July 10, 7:00 pm
Location: Fenway Park
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: NYY -129/BOS +119
Total: 9ov -114

<p>After coming from behind to take Saturday's game, the Red Sox shoot for a split of this four-game weekend rivalry series with the Yankees at Fenway Park Sunday night. Nick Pivetta gets the call for Boston here against Jameson Taillon for New York.</p>
<p>Which way are we going here for our <b>free NYY vs. BOS pick</b>?</p>
<h2>MLB Betting Odds </h2>
<p>Sunday's baseball betting lines opened New York and Taillon at around -135 over Boston and Pivetta, with an over/under of nine runs. Early betting action then dipped the Yankees to -129.</p>
<h2>Yankees-Red Sox MLB Betting Preview </h2>
<p>New York took the opener of this series Thursday night 6-5, then won Friday's game 12-5 before Boston took Saturday's game 6-5 on a two-run single by Alex Verdugo in the bottom of the 10th inning.</p>
<p>The Yankees won as -150 favorites on the dime line both Thursday and Friday, while the Red Sox won Saturday as +150 underdogs.</p>
<p>With Saturday's win, Boston is still only 4-8 over its last 12 games.</p>
<p>With Saturday's loss, New York is 3-3 over its last six games.</p>
<p>At 61-24 overall, the Yankees lead the AL East by 15 games over the 46-39 Red Sox. New York is also 5.5 games up on Houston in the battle for the best record in the American League.</p>
<p>Boston, meanwhile, also leads the AL wild-card race by a half-game over Tampa Bay but by only 2.5 games over fourth-place Seattle.</p>
<p>The Yanks lead the season series with the Sox four games to two.</p>
<h2>Sunday's Pitching Match-Up </h2>
<p><a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/100337&quot; title="Nick Pivetta Pitching Game Stats">Pivetta</a> is 9/17 on quality starts this season and four for his last five. Tuesday, he got touched by Tampa for seven runs and eight hits through 5 2/3 innings of an 8-4 Boston loss. But over his four starts previous to that, he allowed just six runs and 21 hits through 28 innings, with nine walks against 22 strikeouts.</p>
<p>The Red Sox are 9-8 with Pivetta this season, 4-1 his last five times out.</p>
<p>Over three career starts against the Yankees, two last year and one earlier this season, Pivetta gave up nine runs and 11 hits through 12 2/3 innings. Boston lost all three of those games.</p>
<p><a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/79628&quot; title="Jameson Taillon Pitching Game Logs">Taillon</a> is only 4/16 on quality starts this year and 0 for his last three. Tuesday against Pittsburgh, he gave up five runs and six hits, including a couple of home runs, through 5 1/3 innings of a 5-2 New York defeat. And over his last three starts, he's allowed 14 runs and 23 hits through 16 innings.</p>
<p>The Yanks are 13-3 with Taillon this season, but that's probably three games better than they should be, based on his performances.</p>
<p>Over his last three starts against Boston, all last season, Taillon allowed six runs - four earned - and 14 hits through 17 2/3 innings.</p>
<h2>Splits With the Sticks</h2>
<p>New York is batting .243 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .328 team OBP and a .434 team slugging percentage. Numbers like those lead us to rank this line-up among the top five in Baseball in this split.</p>
<p>Boston is slashing .258/.318/.405 against right-handed pitching. But this line-up is down one key stick with 3B Devers (,327 this season) out with a bad back.</p>
<h2>The Bullpens </h2>
<p>The Boston bullpen owns a 3.67 ERA this season, along with a 1.23 WHIP.</p>
<p>The New York pen, despite blowing Saturday's game, owns a 2.67 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP. Numbers like those lead us to rank this unit among the top half-dozen bullpens in Baseball.<br />
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<span style="font-size:14px; color:#008000;">Get more details:</span> <a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1603206">Yankees at Red Sox 7/10/22 Betting Stats</a>
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<h2>MLB Betting Trends </h2>
<ul>
<li>The Yankees are 27-15 on the road this season and 42-16 against right-handed starters.</li>
<li>The Red Sox are 22-20 at home and 31-33 against right-handed starters.</li>
</ul>
<h2>Totals Report</h2>
<ul>
<li>The Under is 44-39 in Yankees games this season.</li>
<li>The Under is 41-35 in Red Sox games.</li>
<li>The Under is 20-18 at Fenway Park this season.</li>
</ul>

Yankees at Red Sox Prediction 7/10/22

We're calling this pitching match-up a push because while Pivetta owns better numbers on the season, Taillon owns the better past performance against tonight's opponent. From there, we give New York edges in both the splits with the sticks, especially with Devers out and the bullpen comparisons. So we're betting the Yankees Sunday night.     

Free Pick: Take the NY Yankees -129
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